Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: prediction, stats and form
Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives VfB Stuttgart 59%, the draw 21% and Werder Bremen 20%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
VfB Stuttgart59%Draw21%Werder Bremen20%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.21 – 1.24
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 79% · X2 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 64%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 11%VfB Stuttgart–Werder Bremen
- Half-time result
- 1 · 45%X 35% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 38%X/1 17% · X/X 11%
- Expected corners
- 10.66.7 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 60%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.5 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 48%
- Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-19%
- 2-08%
- 3-17%
- 1-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards VfB Stuttgart
- Power ratings: VfB Stuttgart +0.40 goals per game (5th of 18 in Bundesliga), Werder Bremen -0.15 (11th).
- VfB Stuttgart's attack (2.01 goals per game) meets Werder Bremen's defence (1.59 conceded per game).
- Werder Bremen's attack (1.44) meets VfB Stuttgart's defence (1.61).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.21 – 1.24 goals: VfB Stuttgart 59%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen 20%.
Match facts
Last matches · VfB Stuttgart
- W Sat 31 Oct A Bayer Leverkusen 4-2
- W Wed 28 Oct A SC Paderborn 07 1-0
- L Fri 23 Oct H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3
- D Tue 20 Oct H Atletico Madrid 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Hamburger SV 0-1
- W Wed 14 Oct A Slovan Bratislava 3-0
Last matches · Werder Bremen
- W Sat 31 Oct H 1899 Hoffenheim 2-0
- L Tue 27 Oct A Borussia Dortmund 2-3
- W Sat 24 Oct A FSV Mainz 05 3-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H SC Paderborn 07 2-2
- D Fri 9 Oct A Borussia Dortmund 2-2
- W Sat 19 Sept H FC Augsburg 3-2
Last 10 matches
| · | VfB Stuttgart | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | VfB Stuttgart (H) | Werder Bremen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/18 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 5/18 | Werder Bremen | 8 | +3 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen
- 2025Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.