Bundesliga power ratings

Every Bundesliga team ranked by the PreviaXI model. Attack = goals per game it would score against an average Bundesliga side, defence = goals it would concede, rating = the difference. Unlike the league table, this ignores luck in finishing and weights recent form.

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#·TeamAttackDefenceRatingGames
1 Bayern München 3.12 1.23 +1.89 6
2 Borussia Dortmund 1.88 1.10 +0.78 7
3 Bayer Leverkusen 2.06 1.38 +0.68 6
4 RB Leipzig 2.10 1.47 +0.63 7
5 VfB Stuttgart 1.95 1.62 +0.33 7
6 SC Freiburg 1.63 1.41 +0.22 6
7 1899 Hoffenheim 1.77 1.55 +0.22 6
8 FSV Mainz 05 1.78 1.67 +0.11 7
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 1.57 1.68 -0.11 7
10 ▲1 1. FC Köln 1.54 1.67 -0.13 7
11 ▲1 Werder Bremen 1.43 1.61 -0.18 7
12 ▲1 FC Augsburg 1.67 1.92 -0.25 7
13 ▲1 Union Berlin 1.34 1.61 -0.27 7
14 ▼4 SV Elversberg 1.65 1.93 -0.28 7
15 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.40 1.69 -0.29 7
16 FC Schalke 04 1.10 1.48 -0.38 7
17 ▲1 SC Paderborn 07 1.08 1.46 -0.38 7
18 ▼1 Hamburger SV 1.25 1.70 -0.45 7

Attack and defence in goals per game on neutral ground; lower defence is better. Games = league matches this season. Home advantage in the model: home sides score 30% more goals than away sides.

Updated Sunday 25 October. Change in rank since Saturday 24 October.