Bundesliga – Matchday 7: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Bundesliga Matchday 7 (23 October – 25 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Bundesliga

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Borussia Dortmund (67% to win against Eintracht Frankfurt).
Closest on paper: 1899 Hoffenheim – Bayer Leverkusen (38% vs 39%, draw 23%).
Most goals expected: RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg (4.1 expected goals); fewest: SC Paderborn 07 – Hamburger SV (2.3).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 8 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 29 goals in these 9 matches (3.26 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 7 · most likely result correct: 3 (43%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 4 (57%) · both teams to score correct: 4 (57%)

Friday 23 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
21:30	VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach	64%	19%	17%	1X83%	67%	61%	9.96.6–3.3	4.12.0–2.1	2-3❌	Preview

Saturday 24 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
16:30	RB LeipzigSV Elversberg	65%	17%	18%	1283%	78%	70%	11.88.2–3.6	3.31.5–1.8	4-0✅	Preview
16:30	FC AugsburgUnion Berlin	49%	23%	28%	1277%	63%	64%	10.65.8–4.8	4.32.2–2.1	1-1❌	Preview
16:30	FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen	56%	22%	22%	1X78%	62%	60%	9.35.7–3.6	3.91.7–2.2	2-3❌	Preview
16:30	1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04	51%	25%	24%	1X76%	52%	54%	10.26.6–3.6	3.92.1–1.8	0-0❌	Preview
16:30	SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV	42%	29%	29%	1X71%	41%	47%	10.56.8–3.7	4.42.3–2.1	1-0✅	Preview
19:30	Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt	67%	19%	14%	1X86%	62%	55%	9.05.4–3.6	3.82.0–1.8	1-0✅	Preview

Sunday 25 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
17:30	1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen	38%	23%	39%	1277%	66%	67%	10.25.4–4.8	4.32.6–1.7		Preview
19:30	SC FreiburgBayern München	22%	20%	58%	1280%	72%	68%	8.53.6–4.9	3.41.6–1.8		Preview

Doha time