Bundesliga · Matchday 7 Leverkusen Ride Winning Run to Sinsheim
Bayer Leverkusen, fourth in the Bundesliga, travel to Hoffenheim on Sunday hoping to stretch a run that has lifted them into the top four. Hoffenheim, 13th, need to find the consistency that has eluded them.
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All Matchday 7 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.7 | 1.5 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.69 – 1.70
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 61% · X2 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Both teams score
- 67%
- Expected corners
- 10.25.4 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 57%
- Expected cards
- 4.32.6 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 61%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: 1899 Hoffenheim +0.22 goals per game (7th of 18 in Bundesliga), Bayer Leverkusen +0.68 (3rd).
- 1899 Hoffenheim's attack (1.77 goals per game) meets Bayer Leverkusen's defence (1.38 conceded per game).
- Bayer Leverkusen's attack (2.06) meets 1899 Hoffenheim's defence (1.55).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.69 – 1.70 goals: 1899 Hoffenheim 38%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 39%.
Absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- OutN. De Cat · Knee Injury
- OutA. Hajdari · Foot Injury
- OutP. Wimmer · Thigh Injury
- DoubtfulB. Conte · Injury
Bayer Leverkusen
- OutE. Ben Seghir · Muscle Injury
- OutG. Doue · Calf Injury
- OutK. Eichhorn · Illness
- OutC. Kofane · Muscle Injury
- OutM. Terrier · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulM. Culbreath · Foot Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
1899 Hoffenheim
- A. Hložek3 goals in 10 games17%
- A. Daghim3 goals in 10 games17%
- B. Conté2 goals in 10 games11%
Bayer Leverkusen
- P. Schick9 goals in 10 games34%
- I. Maza3 goals in 9 games14%
- F. Medina2 goals in 10 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 6 matches.
- 9 of the last 10 meetings between the two sides had over 2.5 goals.
- 7 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of 1899 Hoffenheim’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | 1899 Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-4 | 1-0-2 | 4-1-1 | 1-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.83 | 2.00 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.50 | 2.67 |
| xG per game | 1.67 | 1.62 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
| xG against per game | 1.43 | 1.82 | 1.35 | 1.84 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% |
| Shots per game | 17.8 | 18.3 | 19.7 | 22.3 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.3 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 33% | 31% | 24% |
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Passes per game | 500.2 | 474.7 | 539.3 | 560.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78% | – | – |
| Corners per game | 6.7 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 6.7 |
| Corners against per game | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Cards per game | 2.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Fouls per game | 13.3 | 13.0 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
League matches this season (Bundesliga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
1899 Hoffenheim
- 0-152 / 1
- 16-301 / 1
- 31-451 / 2
- 46-604 / 3
- 61-752 / 4
- 76-90+1 / 3
Usual formation: 4-4-2
Bayer Leverkusen
- 0-153 / 3
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-451 / 2
- 46-603 / 3
- 61-752 / 0
- 76-90+4 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 6 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Next matches
1899 Hoffenheim
- Sat 31 OctWerder Bremen – 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- Thu 5 NovCrystal Palace – 1899 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 Nov1899 Hoffenheim – FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
- Sat 31 OctBayer Leverkusen – VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- Thu 5 NovBayer Leverkusen – MarseilleUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 Nov1. FC Köln – Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
1899 Hoffenheim 3 wins · 1 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 6 wins
- 17/01/20261899 Hoffenheim1-0Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- 23/08/2025Bayer Leverkusen1-21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 02/02/2025Bayer Leverkusen3-11899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 14/09/20241899 Hoffenheim1-4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- 30/03/2024Bayer Leverkusen2-11899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 04/11/20231899 Hoffenheim2-3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- 11/02/20231899 Hoffenheim1-3Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- 20/08/2022Bayer Leverkusen0-31899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 07/05/20221899 Hoffenheim2-4Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- 15/12/2021Bayer Leverkusen2-21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen sit fourth in the Bundesliga with 13 points from six matches, while 1899 Hoffenheim are 13th in an 18-team table with six. On paper, it is a meeting of a side on the rise against one still searching for stability. The question for Leverkusen is whether their winning run can survive a trip to Sinsheim on Sunday.
Leverkusen’s attack against Hoffenheim’s leaky defence
The momentum is clear in the numbers. Leverkusen have scored 14 goals in their last five league games and conceded only six. Hoffenheim have found the net nine times in the same period but have shipped 11, a sign of a backline that has struggled to keep pace with its attack.
Form: Leverkusen’s away record is the question
Leverkusen’s season form reads LWDWWW, and they have won four of six overall. Their away record is less convincing, however. From three trips, they have one win, one draw and one defeat, and they have conceded eight times on the road. Hoffenheim have had their own trouble at home, with one win and two defeats in three games, and they have scored only six times in front of their own supporters.
Head-to-head: a rivalry Leverkusen have mostly controlled
Leverkusen have won three of the last five meetings, including a 4-1 win in Hoffenheim in September 2024 and a 3-1 victory at home in February 2025. Hoffenheim have struck back, though. They won 2-1 at Leverkusen’s ground in August 2025, and they beat them 1-0 in Sinsheim in January, which is the most recent meeting between the two sides.
Team news: absences on both sides
Hoffenheim are without N. De Cat (knee), A. Hajdari (foot) and P. Wimmer (thigh), while B. Conte is a doubt through injury. Leverkusen will be missing E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, C. Kofane and M. Terrier, all through injury, and K. Eichhorn, who is ill. M. Culbreath is also a doubt with a foot problem.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model gives Leverkusen a slight edge, and the football supports it. Leverkusen’s attacking output is the stronger of the two, and their recent results suggest they are the more likely to create the decisive chances. Hoffenheim have shown they can beat Leverkusen in Sinsheim, so this should be a tight, open contest that could go either way late on.
1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
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