Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: prediction, stats and form
Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives RB Leipzig 69%, the draw 16% and FC Augsburg 15%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
RB Leipzig69%Draw16%FC Augsburg15%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.84 – 1.28
- Double chance
- 1X · 85%12 84% · X2 31%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%Over 1.5: 92% · Over 3.5: 59%
- Both teams score
- 68%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 6%RB Leipzig–FC Augsburg
- Half-time result
- 1 · 54%X 30% · 2 16%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 48%X/1 17% · X/X 8%
- Expected corners
- 10.76.6 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 62%
- Expected cards
- 3.31.4 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 42%
- Most likely scores
- 2-18%
- 3-18%
- 2-07%
- 1-16%
- 3-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards RB Leipzig
- Power ratings: RB Leipzig +0.70 goals per game (3rd of 18 in Bundesliga), FC Augsburg -0.26 (13th).
- RB Leipzig's attack (2.14 goals per game) meets FC Augsburg's defence (1.92 conceded per game).
- FC Augsburg's attack (1.66) meets RB Leipzig's defence (1.44).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.84 – 1.28 goals: RB Leipzig 69%, draw 16%, FC Augsburg 15%.
Match facts
Last matches · RB Leipzig
- W Sat 31 Oct A FC Schalke 04 2-0
- W Tue 27 Oct A Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1
- W Sat 24 Oct H SV Elversberg 4-0
- L Wed 21 Oct A Real Madrid 1-4
- L Sat 17 Oct A Bayern München 1-6
- W Tue 13 Oct H PSV Eindhoven 1-0
Last matches · FC Augsburg
- L Sat 31 Oct H SC Freiburg 1-2
- W Tue 27 Oct A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-2
- D Sat 24 Oct H Union Berlin 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A SV Elversberg 3-4
- D Sat 10 Oct H Bayern München 2-2
- L Sat 19 Sept A Werder Bremen 2-3
Last 10 matches
| · | RB Leipzig | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | RB Leipzig (H) | FC Augsburg (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Conceded | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/18 | RB Leipzig | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 10/18 | FC Augsburg | 8 | +3 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg
- 2025FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.