Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg: prediction, stats and form
Bundesliga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Borussia Dortmund 69%, the draw 18% and SV Elversberg 13%, with a predicted score of 2-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Borussia Dortmund69%Draw18%SV Elversberg13%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.44 – 0.99
- Double chance
- 1X · 87%12 82% · X2 31%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 9%Borussia Dortmund–SV Elversberg
- Half-time result
- 1 · 52%X 33% · 2 15%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 47%X/1 19% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 11.78.4 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 72%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.9 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 48%
- Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 1-18%
- 3-08%
- 3-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Borussia Dortmund
- Power ratings: Borussia Dortmund +0.75 goals per game (2nd of 18 in Bundesliga), SV Elversberg -0.23 (12th).
- Borussia Dortmund's attack (1.88 goals per game) meets SV Elversberg's defence (1.87 conceded per game).
- SV Elversberg's attack (1.64) meets Borussia Dortmund's defence (1.13).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.44 – 0.99 goals: Borussia Dortmund 69%, draw 18%, SV Elversberg 13%.
Match facts
Last matches · Borussia Dortmund
- D Sat 31 Oct A Bayern München 2-2
- W Tue 27 Oct H Werder Bremen 3-2
- W Sat 24 Oct H Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0
- W Tue 20 Oct A Sabah FA 2-1
- D Sat 17 Oct A Union Berlin 0-0
- L Wed 14 Oct A Bodo/Glimt 0-1
Last matches · SV Elversberg
- W Fri 30 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 4-1
- L Tue 27 Oct H SV Darmstadt 98 0-2
- L Sat 24 Oct A RB Leipzig 0-4
- W Sat 17 Oct H FC Augsburg 4-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Union Berlin 0-1
- D Sun 20 Sept A FC Schalke 04 0-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | Borussia Dortmund (H) | SV Elversberg (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/18 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 7/18 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 0 | 13 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.