Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: prediction, stats and form
Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives SC Freiburg 55%, the draw 24% and Union Berlin 21%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
SC Freiburg55%Draw24%Union Berlin21%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.80 – 1.00
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 76% · X2 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 17%SC Freiburg–Union Berlin
- Half-time result
- 1 · 41%X 40% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 18% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.25.0 – 3.2 · Over 9.5: 31%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.8 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards SC Freiburg
- Power ratings: SC Freiburg +0.20 goals per game (7th of 18 in Bundesliga), Union Berlin -0.29 (15th).
- SC Freiburg's attack (1.62 goals per game) meets Union Berlin's defence (1.61 conceded per game).
- Union Berlin's attack (1.32) meets SC Freiburg's defence (1.42).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.80 – 1.00 goals: SC Freiburg 55%, draw 24%, Union Berlin 21%.
Match facts
Last matches · SC Freiburg
- W Sat 31 Oct A FC Augsburg 2-1
- W Wed 28 Oct H VfL Wolfsburg 3-2
- L Sun 25 Oct H Bayern München 1-3
- L Thu 22 Oct A Monaco 0-3
- L Sun 18 Oct A Bayer Leverkusen 1-2
- W Thu 15 Oct H FK Jablonec 3-2
Last matches · Union Berlin
- D Sun 1 Nov H 1. FC Köln 1-1
- L Tue 27 Oct A 1. FC Köln 0-5
- D Sat 24 Oct A FC Augsburg 1-1
- D Sat 17 Oct H Borussia Dortmund 0-0
- W Sat 10 Oct H SV Elversberg 1-0
- L Fri 18 Sept A Bayern München 0-7
Last 10 matches
| · | SC Freiburg | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | SC Freiburg (H) | Union Berlin (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/18 | SC Freiburg | 8 | +8 | 16 |
| 16/18 | Union Berlin | 8 | -12 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2026SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin
- 2025Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.