Bundesliga – Matchday 8: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Bundesliga Matchday 8 (30 October – 1 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Bundesliga

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Bayern München (63% to win against Borussia Dortmund).
Closest on paper: FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg (38% vs 38%, draw 24%).
Most goals expected: Bayer Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart (3.8 expected goals); fewest: Borussia Mönchengladbach – SC Paderborn 07 (2.4).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 8 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 29 goals in these 9 matches (3.17 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 9 · most likely result correct: 3 (33%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 6 (67%) · both teams to score correct: 7 (78%)

Friday 30 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:30	SV ElversbergFSV Mainz 05	40%	22%	38%	1278%	72%	72%	10.54.9–5.6	4.01.9–2.1	4-1✅	Preview

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
17:30	Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart	55%	20%	25%	1280%	72%	70%	10.16.0–4.1	4.21.9–2.3	2-4❌	Preview
17:30	FC AugsburgSC Freiburg	38%	24%	38%	1276%	64%	66%	9.14.8–4.3	3.92.1–1.8	1-2❌	Preview
17:30	Borussia MönchengladbachSC Paderborn 07	47%	28%	25%	1X75%	43%	48%	9.55.0–4.5	4.22.0–2.2	0-0❌	Preview
17:30	Werder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim	36%	25%	39%	1275%	59%	62%	10.04.8–5.2	3.81.8–2.0	2-0❌	Preview
17:30	FC Schalke 04RB Leipzig	26%	25%	49%	1275%	53%	55%	9.54.4–5.1	3.11.4–1.7	0-2✅	Preview
20:30	Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund	63%	19%	18%	1X82%	70%	64%	9.86.4–3.4	3.41.4–2.0	2-2❌	Preview

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
17:30	Union Berlin1. FC Köln	42%	26%	32%	1274%	55%	58%	10.25.8–4.4	4.32.3–2.0	1-1❌	Preview
19:30	Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV	54%	24%	22%	1X78%	57%	57%	9.46.1–3.3	4.62.4–2.2	3-1✅	Preview

Doha time