Bundesliga · Matchday 8 
Our pick2–1Missed
Bayern and Dortmund meet level at the Bundesliga summit
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund both have 17 points after seven matches, with the top spot on the line at the Allianz Arena. Bayern’s prolific home scoring faces a Dortmund side that has conceded just twice in its last five games.
📍 Allianz Arena
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund shared a 2-2 draw. Konrad Laimer put Bayern ahead in the 38th minute. Serhou Guirassy levelled for Dortmund on 60 minutes, assisted by Carney Chukwuemeka, before Dayot Upamecano restored Bayern’s lead six minutes later, with Harry Kane providing the assist. Fábio Silva made it 2-2 in the 89th minute, assisted by Konstantinos Karetsas. There were no red cards.
Bayern had 56% possession and led the shot count 23-12, while Dortmund had more shots on target, 6-5. The xG figures were 3.95 for Bayern and 0.65 for Dortmund. Fábio Silva was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The draw differed from the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction for Bayern, which gave the home side a 63% win chance, a draw 19%, and Dortmund 18%.
Goals
- 38'Konrad Laimer · Bayern München
- 60'Serhou Guirassy · Carney Chukwuemeka · Borussia Dortmund
- 66'Dayot Upamecano · Harry Kane · Bayern München
- 89'Fábio Silva · Konstantinos Karetsas · Borussia Dortmund
Cards
- 6'Jobe Bellingham · Borussia Dortmund
- 53'Josip Stanišić · Bayern München
- 74'Konrad Laimer · Bayern München
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Fábio Silva (Borussia Dortmund) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Bayern München · 4-2-3-1
- 40J. UrbigG
- 27K. LaimerD
- 2D. UpamecanoD
- 3Kim Min-JaeD
- 19A. DaviesD
- 6J. KimmichM
- 45A. PavlovićM
- 17M. OliseM
- 34I. SaibariM
- 7S. GnabryM
- 9H. KaneF
Coach: V. Kompany
Borussia Dortmund · 3-4-2-1
- 1G. KobelG
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 3W. AntonD
- 4N. SchlotterbeckD
- 14M. BeierM
- 25J. VeermanM
- 8F. NmechaM
- 24D. SvenssonM
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 9S. GuirassyF
Coach: N. Kovač
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.7 | 0.6 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 7 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | +8 | 17 |
Last meetings
- 2026Borussia Dortmund1-2Bayern München
- 2026Borussia Dortmund2-3Bayern München
- 2025Bayern München2-1Borussia Dortmund
- 2025Bayern München2-2Borussia Dortmund
- 2024Borussia Dortmund1-1Bayern München
Absences
Bayern München
- OutT. Buchmann · Knee Injury
- OutL. Diaz · Muscle Injury
- OutJ. Musiala · Muscle Injury
- OutM. Neuer · Foot Injury
Borussia Dortmund
- OutE. Can · Knee Injury
- OutG. Konstantelias · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Lerma · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulK. Karetsas · Ankle Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.40 – 1.22
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 81% · X2 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 49%
- Both teams score
- 64%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 9%Bayern München–Borussia Dortmund
- Half-time result
- 1 · 48%X 33% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 42%X/1 17% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 9.96.5 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.31.4 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 42%
- Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
- 2-08%
- 3-18%
- 1-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
The summit is up for grabs
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund begin this Bundesliga meeting level on 17 points after seven matches, with Bayern first and Dortmund second on goal difference. The result can create separation at the top or leave the other side in touch: three points would give the winner a valuable advantage, while a draw would keep them level on points.
Bayern’s goal difference is +19, compared with Dortmund’s +8, and both teams remain unbeaten in the league. That makes this a meeting between the division’s top two, with the chance to strengthen an early grip on the leading places.
Bayern’s firepower, Dortmund’s resistance
Bayern have scored 25 league goals and conceded six across their opening seven matches. Their home record is especially striking: 18 goals in three games, with three wins from three at the Allianz Arena. In their last five matches, they scored 20 times.
Dortmund have taken the same 17 points, scoring 12 and conceding four. Their recent defensive numbers are a particular strength: just two goals allowed across their last five outings, alongside seven scored. They have won five and drawn two in the league, matching Bayern’s unbeaten start.
Recent meetings favour Bayern
Bayern have won the last three listed meetings, including a 2-1 Bundesliga victory at home in October 2025 and a 3-2 win away in February 2026. They also beat Dortmund 2-1 in the Super Cup in August. The previous league encounter at the Allianz Arena ended 2-2, however, so Dortmund have shown they can make this a close contest.
Absences on both sides
Bayern are without T. Buchmann, L. Diaz, J. Musiala and M. Neuer, all listed as missing through injury. Dortmund are missing E. Can, G. Konstantelias and J. Lerma; K. Karetsas is questionable with an ankle injury.
The attack-versus-defence test
Bayern’s 18 goals at home underline the scale of the challenge for Dortmund’s defence. The visitors, though, have been difficult to break down lately and have conceded only twice in five matches. Their own attack has been less prolific than Bayern’s, leaving Dortmund needing to balance their defensive discipline with a threat going forward.
Our prediction
Bayern’s home scoring and recent record in this fixture point to a narrow edge, even against a Dortmund side in strong defensive form. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, with Bayern’s greater attacking output tilting the expected contest their way.
Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
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