Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim: recent meetings favour the visitors

The table gives Werder a narrow edge

Werder Bremen sit seventh in the Bundesliga with 12 points after seven matches, three places and three points above 10th-placed 1899 Hoffenheim. Both teams have won three league games, but Werder have drawn three and lost once, while Hoffenheim have yet to draw and have lost four times. The standings favour the hosts; recent meetings tell a more cautionary story.

Goals at both ends

Werder have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, but conceded nine in that spell. Their season record is also productive at home: eight goals in three home league games, with two wins and a draw.

Hoffenheim have scored 10 and conceded eight in their last five. They arrive after winning their last two league matches, while Werder’s latest five-game sequence includes two wins, two draws and a defeat. Both sides have shown attacking threat, but neither has consistently shut opponents out.

Hoffenheim’s recent head-to-head grip

The last five Bundesliga meetings have produced four Hoffenheim wins and one Werder victory. Hoffenheim won both fixtures last season, 2-0 away in January and 1-0 at home in May.

Werder’s clearest reminder that this rivalry can swing came in September 2024, when they won 4-3 away. That is the only win in the sequence for Bremen, and the other four results underline how difficult Hoffenheim have been to beat. The history gives the visitors a psychological edge, even if Werder’s home form offers grounds for resistance.

Absences stretch both squads

Werder are without F. Agu and S. Alvero, both with calf injuries, as well as P. Erevbenagie (ankle), S. Musah, J. Stage and N. Stark (muscle injuries), M. N’Diaye (groin) and K. Topp (knee).

Hoffenheim are missing B. Conte (groin), N. De Cat (knee), V. Gendrey (ankle), A. Hajdari (foot), P. Wimmer (thigh) and A. Prass through suspension.

Home goals versus a winning run

Werder’s eight goals in three home league matches make them a threat, particularly with the team scoring freely in recent weeks. Hoffenheim, however, have the stronger recent record in this fixture and come into the match on the back of consecutive wins.

Our prediction

The recent head-to-head record gives Hoffenheim a clear reason for confidence, and their current winning run adds to that case. Werder’s home scoring suggests they can find a goal, but the balance of attacking threat leans slightly towards the visitors.

Werder Bremen 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim