Our pick2–1Correct result
Hamburger SV’s injury crisis deepens ahead of Frankfurt rematch
Hamburger SV are set to be without six players and have another doubtful as they return to Frankfurt days after a 3-1 cup defeat. The absences loom large in a Bundesliga meeting between two sides separated by one point.
📍 Deutsche Bank Park
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hamburger SV 3-1. The hosts went ahead in the 10th minute through a Warmed Omari own goal, but Terem Moffi equalised for Hamburger SV four minutes later, assisted by Albert Grönbaek. Raphael Onyedika Nwadike restored Frankfurt’s lead in the 47th minute, and Younes Ebnoutalib made it 3-1 in the 69th minute, with Can Yilmaz Uzun providing the assist.
Frankfurt had 52% possession and led 10-3 in shots on target, while total shots were closer at 15-12. The hosts also recorded the higher expected goals figure, 2.02 to 1.11. R. Onyedika was the top-rated player, with an 8.0 rating. The result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction, which gave Frankfurt a 54% chance of winning, a 23% chance of a draw and Hamburger SV a 23% chance of victory.
Goals
- 10'Warmed Omari (o.g.) · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 14'Terem Moffi · Albert Grönbaek · Hamburger SV
- 47'Raphael Onyedika Nwadike · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 69'Younes Ebnoutalib · Can Yilmaz Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt
Cards
- 33'Shafiq Nandja · Hamburger SV
- 70'Martin Adeline · Hamburger SV
- 76'Warmed Omari · Hamburger SV
- 85'Elias Niklas Baum · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 90'A. Hütter · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 90+8'Robin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 90+8'Otto Emerson Stange · Hamburger SV
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: R. Onyedika (Eintracht Frankfurt) 8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Eintracht Frankfurt · 4-2-3-1
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2Elias BaumD
- 4R. KochD
- 3L. BrassierD
- 26K. KosugiD
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 15N. Aséko NkiliM
- 20R. DōanM
- 42C. UzunM
- 8F. ChaïbiM
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
Coach: A. Hütter
Hamburger SV · 3-4-2-1
- 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
- 43S. NandjaD
- 23J. TorunarighaD
- 17W. OmariD
- 37L. LemkeM
- 6A. Sambi LokongaM
- 28M. MuheimM
- 3D. Møller WolfeM
- 5M. AdelineM
- 11A. GrønbækM
- 9T. MoffiF
Coach: M. Polzin
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Hamburger SV | 0.9 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2026Hamburger SV1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- 2026Eintracht Frankfurt1-2Hamburger SV
- 2025Hamburger SV1-1Eintracht Frankfurt
- 2018Eintracht Frankfurt3-0Hamburger SV
- 2017Hamburger SV1-2Eintracht Frankfurt
Absences
Eintracht Frankfurt
- OutJ. Ngankam · Hamstring Injury
Hamburger SV
- OutN. Capaldo · Muscle Injury
- OutB. Nadir · Muscle Injury
- OutY. Poulsen · Hip Injury
- OutN. Remberg · Knee Injury
- OutF. Vieira · Thigh Injury
- OutM. Vuskovic · Doping
- DoubtfulS. Bornauw · Face Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.85 – 1.12
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 77% · X2 46%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 33% – 16%Eintracht Frankfurt–Hamburger SV
- Half-time result
- 1 · 41%X 39% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 17% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.46.1 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.4 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A one-point gap, a depleted Hamburg
Six Hamburger SV players are ruled out and another is doubtful for Sunday’s Bundesliga trip to Eintracht Frankfurt, just five days after Frankfurt beat them 3-1 in the DFB-Pokal. The league meeting brings the same opponents together again with little time to reset—and Hamburg’s injury crisis could shape the contest.
The standings offer little breathing room: Hamburger SV are 13th on nine points after seven matches, while Frankfurt sit 15th with eight. Both have conceded heavily, with goal differences of -10 and -7 respectively.
Frankfurt’s recent edge
Frankfurt have scored six and conceded 10 across their last five matches. Hamburg’s equivalent return is also six goals, but they have let in nine. Across seven league games, Frankfurt have scored 10 times and Hamburg six.
Hamburg’s sequence of three wins in a row was interrupted by a defeat, while Frankfurt’s recent results have been uneven. The cup win gives Frankfurt a fresh psychological boost, although the league table suggests this is a close matchup rather than a meeting between sides far apart.
Recent meetings favour Frankfurt
Frankfurt’s 3-1 cup victory on October 27 is the latest result between the clubs. The previous league meeting, in May, went Hamburg’s way 2-1, while the December 2025 encounter finished 1-1. The recent record points to competitive games, but Frankfurt have now won the latest meeting and the 2018 Bundesliga match-up as well.
Hamburg’s absences dominate
Hamburger SV are missing N. Capaldo and B. Nadir with muscle injuries, Y. Poulsen with a hip injury, N. Remberg with a knee injury and F. Vieira with a thigh injury. M. Vuskovic is also unavailable through a doping-related absence, while S. Bornauw is questionable with a face injury.
That list leaves Hamburg with major disruption across the squad and makes the quick turnaround from the cup defeat harder to manage. Frankfurt also have J. Ngankam out with a hamstring injury, but their absence list is considerably shorter.
The defensive test
Frankfurt’s 17 goals conceded in seven league matches underline a vulnerability Hamburg could target, even with their options reduced. Hamburg, however, have scored only six league goals and have conceded 16, so the visitors must find a way to threaten while coping with their depleted ranks.
Our prediction
Frankfurt’s home advantage and the contrast between Hamburg’s lengthy absence list and their own shorter one tip the balance towards the hosts. The model also favours Frankfurt, with the hosts projected to create more attacking threat; Hamburg’s recent cup defeat adds to the challenge, though their May league win shows they can still make this close.
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Hamburger SV

