Bundesliga · Matchday 8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1 Full time
Hamburger SV

Our pick2–1Correct result

Hamburger SV’s injury crisis deepens ahead of Frankfurt rematch

Hamburger SV are set to be without six players and have another doubtful as they return to Frankfurt days after a 3-1 cup defeat. The absences loom large in a Bundesliga meeting between two sides separated by one point.

📍 Deutsche Bank Park

Preview written: · Updated after team news:

Match report

Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hamburger SV 3-1. The hosts went ahead in the 10th minute through a Warmed Omari own goal, but Terem Moffi equalised for Hamburger SV four minutes later, assisted by Albert Grönbaek. Raphael Onyedika Nwadike restored Frankfurt’s lead in the 47th minute, and Younes Ebnoutalib made it 3-1 in the 69th minute, with Can Yilmaz Uzun providing the assist.

Frankfurt had 52% possession and led 10-3 in shots on target, while total shots were closer at 15-12. The hosts also recorded the higher expected goals figure, 2.02 to 1.11. R. Onyedika was the top-rated player, with an 8.0 rating. The result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction, which gave Frankfurt a 54% chance of winning, a 23% chance of a draw and Hamburger SV a 23% chance of victory.

Goals

  • 10'Warmed Omari (o.g.) · Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 14'Terem Moffi · Albert Grönbaek · Hamburger SV
  • 47'Raphael Onyedika Nwadike · Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 69'Younes Ebnoutalib · Can Yilmaz Uzun · Eintracht Frankfurt

Cards

  • 33'Shafiq Nandja · Hamburger SV
  • 70'Martin Adeline · Hamburger SV
  • 76'Warmed Omari · Hamburger SV
  • 85'Elias Niklas Baum · Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 90'A. Hütter · Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 90+8'Robin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 90+8'Otto Emerson Stange · Hamburger SV

Match stats

Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
52%Possession48%
15Shots12
10Shots on target3
2.02Expected goals (xG)1.11
6Corners6
10Fouls10
2Offsides3
3Saves8

⭐ Top-rated player: R. Onyedika (Eintracht Frankfurt) 8

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1N. AtuboluG
  2. 2Elias BaumD
  3. 4R. KochD
  4. 3L. BrassierD
  5. 26K. KosugiD
  6. 25R. OnyedikaM
  7. 15N. Aséko NkiliM
  8. 20R. DōanM
  9. 42C. UzunM
  10. 8F. ChaïbiM
  11. 11Y. EbnoutalibF

Coach: A. Hütter

Hamburger SV · 3-4-2-1

  1. 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
  2. 43S. NandjaD
  3. 23J. TorunarighaD
  4. 17W. OmariD
  5. 37L. LemkeM
  6. 6A. Sambi LokongaM
  7. 28M. MuheimM
  8. 3D. Møller WolfeM
  9. 5M. AdelineM
  10. 11A. GrønbækM
  11. 9T. MoffiF

Coach: M. Polzin

Match facts

Recent form

Eintracht FrankfurtWDLWL
Hamburger SVLWWWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Eintracht Frankfurt1.42.4
Hamburger SV0.92.3

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
13Hamburger SV7-109
15Eintracht Frankfurt7-78

Last meetings

  • 2026Hamburger SV1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2026Eintracht Frankfurt1-2Hamburger SV
  • 2025Hamburger SV1-1Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2018Eintracht Frankfurt3-0Hamburger SV
  • 2017Hamburger SV1-2Eintracht Frankfurt

Absences

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • OutJ. Ngankam · Hamstring Injury

Hamburger SV

  • OutN. Capaldo · Muscle Injury
  • OutB. Nadir · Muscle Injury
  • OutY. Poulsen · Hip Injury
  • OutN. Remberg · Knee Injury
  • OutF. Vieira · Thigh Injury
  • OutM. Vuskovic · Doping
  • DoubtfulS. Bornauw · Face Injury

PreviaXI model

Eintracht Frankfurt54%Draw23%Hamburger SV23%

Model confidence: Medium

Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals (model)
1.85 – 1.12
Double chance
1X · 77%12 77% · X2 46%
Over 2.5 goals
57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
Both teams score
57%
Clean sheet
33% – 16%Eintracht Frankfurt–Hamburger SV
Half-time result
1 · 41%X 39% · 2 20%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 34%X/1 17% · X/X 13%
Expected corners
9.46.1 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 47%
Expected cards
4.62.4 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 65%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-111%
  2. 2-110%
  3. 1-09%
  4. 2-09%
  5. 3-16%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A one-point gap, a depleted Hamburg

Six Hamburger SV players are ruled out and another is doubtful for Sunday’s Bundesliga trip to Eintracht Frankfurt, just five days after Frankfurt beat them 3-1 in the DFB-Pokal. The league meeting brings the same opponents together again with little time to reset—and Hamburg’s injury crisis could shape the contest.

The standings offer little breathing room: Hamburger SV are 13th on nine points after seven matches, while Frankfurt sit 15th with eight. Both have conceded heavily, with goal differences of -10 and -7 respectively.

Frankfurt’s recent edge

Frankfurt have scored six and conceded 10 across their last five matches. Hamburg’s equivalent return is also six goals, but they have let in nine. Across seven league games, Frankfurt have scored 10 times and Hamburg six.

Hamburg’s sequence of three wins in a row was interrupted by a defeat, while Frankfurt’s recent results have been uneven. The cup win gives Frankfurt a fresh psychological boost, although the league table suggests this is a close matchup rather than a meeting between sides far apart.

Recent meetings favour Frankfurt

Frankfurt’s 3-1 cup victory on October 27 is the latest result between the clubs. The previous league meeting, in May, went Hamburg’s way 2-1, while the December 2025 encounter finished 1-1. The recent record points to competitive games, but Frankfurt have now won the latest meeting and the 2018 Bundesliga match-up as well.

Hamburg’s absences dominate

Hamburger SV are missing N. Capaldo and B. Nadir with muscle injuries, Y. Poulsen with a hip injury, N. Remberg with a knee injury and F. Vieira with a thigh injury. M. Vuskovic is also unavailable through a doping-related absence, while S. Bornauw is questionable with a face injury.

That list leaves Hamburg with major disruption across the squad and makes the quick turnaround from the cup defeat harder to manage. Frankfurt also have J. Ngankam out with a hamstring injury, but their absence list is considerably shorter.

The defensive test

Frankfurt’s 17 goals conceded in seven league matches underline a vulnerability Hamburg could target, even with their options reduced. Hamburg, however, have scored only six league goals and have conceded 16, so the visitors must find a way to threaten while coping with their depleted ranks.

Our prediction

Frankfurt’s home advantage and the contrast between Hamburg’s lengthy absence list and their own shorter one tip the balance towards the hosts. The model also favours Frankfurt, with the hosts projected to create more attacking threat; Hamburg’s recent cup defeat adds to the challenge, though their May league win shows they can still make this close.

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Hamburger SV

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