Bundesliga · Matchday 9 
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction, stats and form
Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives 1. FC Köln 34%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 42%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
1. FC Köln34%Draw24%Bayer Leverkusen42%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.57 – 1.78
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 58% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 43%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 21%1. FC Köln–Bayer Leverkusen
- Half-time result
- X · 37%1 29% · 2 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 26%1/1 20% · X/2 13%
- Expected corners
- 10.34.6 – 5.7 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.4 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 69%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Bayer Leverkusen
- Power ratings: 1. FC Köln -0.10 goals per game (10th of 18 in Bundesliga), Bayer Leverkusen +0.54 (4th).
- 1. FC Köln's attack (1.54 goals per game) meets Bayer Leverkusen's defence (1.48 conceded per game).
- Bayer Leverkusen's attack (2.02) meets 1. FC Köln's defence (1.64).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.57 – 1.78 goals: 1. FC Köln 34%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 42%.
Match facts
Last matches · 1. FC Köln
- D Sun 1 Nov A Union Berlin 1-1
- W Tue 27 Oct H Union Berlin 5-0
- D Sat 24 Oct H FC Schalke 04 0-0
- L Fri 16 Oct A Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1
- W Sun 11 Oct H Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1
- L Sat 19 Sept A Hamburger SV 1-2
Last matches · Bayer Leverkusen
- L Sat 31 Oct H VfB Stuttgart 2-4
- W Wed 28 Oct H 1. FC Nürnberg 5-2
- L Sun 25 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3
- W Thu 22 Oct A OFI 2-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H SC Freiburg 2-1
- W Thu 15 Oct A Lech Poznan 4-0
Last 10 matches
| · | 1. FC Köln | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | 1. FC Köln (H) | Bayer Leverkusen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/18 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 6/18 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Last meetings
- 20261. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- 2025Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Köln
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.