Ligue 1 – Matchday 10: predictions & previews
All 9 matches of Ligue 1 Matchday 10 (6 November – 8 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.
Key numbers
- Biggest favourite: Paris Saint Germain (77% to win against Estac Troyes).
- Closest on paper: Stade Brestois 29 – Lyon (37% vs 37%, draw 26%).
- Most goals expected: Lens – Marseille (3.7 expected goals); fewest: Le Havre – Lorient (2.4).
- Both teams to score is more likely than not in 7 of 8 matches.
- The model expects about 24 goals in these 8 matches (2.99 per match).
All matches
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse Strasbourg | – | ||||||||||
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auxerre Paris FC | 33% | 27% | 40% | 1273% | 50% | 54% | 9.65.4–4.2 | 4.41.7–2.7 | Stats | ||
 Paris Saint Germain Estac Troyes | 77% | 15% | 8% | 1X92% | 65% | 49% | 8.04.5–3.5 | 3.01.3–1.7 | Stats |
| · | Match | 1 | X | 2 | DC | O 2.5 | BTTS | Corners | Cards | Result | · |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rennes Lille | 37% | 25% | 38% | 1275% | 60% | 62% | 10.35.5–4.8 | 4.51.9–2.6 | Stats | ||
 Angers Nice | 37% | 27% | 36% | 1273% | 49% | 54% | 10.25.1–5.1 | 3.11.4–1.7 | Stats | ||
 Stade Brestois 29 Lyon | 37% | 26% | 37% | 1274% | 53% | 57% | 10.44.9–5.5 | 4.02.1–1.9 | Stats | ||
 Le Havre Lorient | 36% | 28% | 36% | 1272% | 44% | 50% | 9.05.7–3.3 | 3.82.1–1.7 | Stats | ||
 Le Mans Monaco | 32% | 24% | 44% | 1276% | 63% | 65% | 8.03.3–4.7 | 4.32.0–2.3 | Stats | ||
 Lens Marseille | 57% | 20% | 23% | 1280% | 72% | 68% | 9.45.4–4.0 | 4.31.9–2.4 | Stats |
Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.
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