Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Rennes vs Lille: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Rennes 37%, the draw 25% and Lille 38%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Rennes37%Draw25%Lille38%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.53 – 1.56
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 62% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 22%Rennes–Lille
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 30% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 23%1/1 22% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.35.5 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 57%
- Expected cards
- 4.51.9 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 0-17%
- 1-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Rennes +0.12 goals per game (10th of 18 in Ligue 1), Lille +0.43 (3rd).
- Rennes's attack (1.83 goals per game) meets Lille's defence (1.10 conceded per game).
- Lille's attack (1.53) meets Rennes's defence (1.71).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.53 – 1.56 goals: Rennes 37%, draw 25%, Lille 38%.
Match facts
Last matches · Rennes
- L Fri 30 Oct A Nice 2-5
- W Sun 25 Oct H Strasbourg 3-0
- D Thu 22 Oct A Juventus 2-2
- L Sun 18 Oct A Paris FC 3-4
- W Thu 15 Oct H OFI 2-1
- W Sun 11 Oct H Auxerre 4-1
Last matches · Lille
- W Fri 30 Oct H Lens 1-0
- D Sun 25 Oct A Monaco 1-1
- L Wed 21 Oct H Galatasaray 2-4
- D Sat 17 Oct H Stade Brestois 29 1-1
- L Tue 13 Oct A Arsenal 0-3
- W Sat 10 Oct H Le Havre 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Rennes | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Rennes (H) | Lille (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | Rennes | 9 | +1 | 16 |
| 2/18 | Lille | 9 | +6 | 18 |
Last meetings
- 2026Rennes 1-2 Lille
- 2026Lille 0-2 Rennes
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.