Le Mans vs Monaco: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Le Mans 32%, the draw 24% and Monaco 44%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Le Mans32%Draw24%Monaco44%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.49 – 1.77
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 56% · X2 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 41%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 23%Le Mans–Monaco
- Half-time result
- X · 37%1 28% · 2 35%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 27%1/1 19% · X/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 8.03.3 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 29%
- Expected cards
- 4.32.0 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 63%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Monaco
- Power ratings: Le Mans -0.38 goals per game (17th of 18 in Ligue 1), Monaco +0.27 (6th).
- Le Mans's attack (1.42 goals per game) meets Monaco's defence (1.38 conceded per game).
- Monaco's attack (1.65) meets Le Mans's defence (1.80).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.49 – 1.77 goals: Le Mans 32%, draw 24%, Monaco 44%.
Match facts
Last matches · Le Mans
- L Sat 31 Oct A Estac Troyes 0-2
- D Sun 25 Oct A Auxerre 1-1
- L Fri 16 Oct H Toulouse 0-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Paris Saint Germain 1-3
- W Sat 19 Sept H Lorient 2-1
- D Sun 13 Sept H Lens 2-2
Last matches · Monaco
- L Sun 1 Nov A Paris FC 1-3
- D Sun 25 Oct H Lille 1-1
- W Thu 22 Oct H SC Freiburg 3-0
- L Sun 18 Oct A Lorient 0-1
- W Thu 15 Oct A CSKA Sofia 2-1
- D Sat 10 Oct H Toulouse 2-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Le Mans | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Le Mans (H) | Monaco (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/18 | Le Mans | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 7/18 | Monaco | 9 | +2 | 15 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

