Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Paris Saint Germain 77%, the draw 15% and Estac Troyes 8%, with a predicted score of 2-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Paris Saint Germain77%Draw15%Estac Troyes8%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.60 – 0.75
- Double chance
- 1X · 92%12 85% · X2 23%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 43%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 47% – 7%Paris Saint Germain–Estac Troyes
- Half-time result
- 1 · 58%X 32% · 2 10%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 54%X/1 20% · X/X 9%
- Expected corners
- 8.04.5 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 30%
- Expected cards
- 3.01.3 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 35%
- Most likely scores
- 2-012%
- 3-010%
- 1-09%
- 2-19%
- 3-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Paris Saint Germain
- Power ratings: Paris Saint Germain +1.21 goals per game (1st of 18 in Ligue 1), Estac Troyes -0.31 (15th).
- Paris Saint Germain's attack (2.23 goals per game) meets Estac Troyes's defence (1.54 conceded per game).
- Estac Troyes's attack (1.23) meets Paris Saint Germain's defence (1.02).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.60 – 0.75 goals: Paris Saint Germain 77%, draw 15%, Estac Troyes 8%.
Match facts
Last matches · Paris Saint Germain
- W Fri 30 Oct A Le Havre 5-1
- W Mon 26 Oct H Lyon 2-0
- W Tue 20 Oct H Barcelona 4-2
- W Sat 17 Oct A Strasbourg 3-1
- W Wed 14 Oct A Manchester City 4-2
- W Sat 10 Oct H Le Mans 3-1
Last matches · Estac Troyes
- W Sat 31 Oct H Le Mans 2-0
- D Sun 25 Oct A Toulouse 0-0
- L Sat 17 Oct H Lens 1-3
- L Sun 11 Oct H Marseille 0-2
- L Sat 19 Sept A Angers 0-2
- L Sun 13 Sept A Lille 0-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Paris Saint Germain | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 2.70 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 60% |
Home and away record
| · | Paris Saint Germain (H) | Estac Troyes (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/18 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 16/18 | Estac Troyes | 9 | -9 | 8 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.