Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Stade Brestois 29 37%, the draw 26% and Lyon 37%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Stade Brestois 2937%Draw26%Lyon37%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 1.39
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 63% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 25%Stade Brestois 29–Lyon
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 30% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 22%2/2 22% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.44.9 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Stade Brestois 29 +0.05 goals per game (11th of 18 in Ligue 1), Lyon +0.38 (4th).
- Stade Brestois 29's attack (1.52 goals per game) meets Lyon's defence (1.21 conceded per game).
- Lyon's attack (1.59) meets Stade Brestois 29's defence (1.47).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.40 – 1.39 goals: Stade Brestois 29 37%, draw 26%, Lyon 37%.
Match facts
Last matches · Stade Brestois 29
- L Fri 23 Oct H Nice 1-2
- D Sat 17 Oct A Lille 1-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H Angers 5-1
- L Sun 20 Sept A Auxerre 1-2
- L Sun 13 Sept H Paris Saint Germain 0-1
- W Sat 5 Sept A Le Havre 2-1
Last matches · Lyon
- W Sun 1 Nov H Angers 2-0
- L Mon 26 Oct A Paris Saint Germain 0-2
- L Thu 22 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3
- W Sun 18 Oct H Nice 2-1
- W Thu 15 Oct H Crystal Palace 3-2
- L Fri 9 Oct A Lens 1-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Stade Brestois 29 | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 90% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Stade Brestois 29 (H) | Lyon (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/18 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 3/18 | Lyon | 9 | +8 | 17 |
Last meetings
- 2026Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29
- 2025Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.