Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Auxerre vs Paris FC: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Auxerre 33%, the draw 27% and Paris FC 40%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Auxerre33%Draw27%Paris FC40%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.25 – 1.41
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 60% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 29%Auxerre–Paris FC
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 27% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 24%1/1 19% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.4 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 4.41.7 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 63%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19%
- 1-29%
- 1-08%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Paris FC
- Power ratings: Auxerre -0.35 goals per game (16th of 18 in Ligue 1), Paris FC +0.14 (9th).
- Auxerre's attack (1.21 goals per game) meets Paris FC's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
- Paris FC's attack (1.51) meets Auxerre's defence (1.56).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.25 – 1.41 goals: Auxerre 33%, draw 27%, Paris FC 40%.
Match facts
Last matches · Auxerre
- L Sun 1 Nov A Strasbourg 1-5
- D Sun 25 Oct H Le Mans 1-1
- W Sun 18 Oct A Le Havre 3-1
- L Sun 11 Oct A Rennes 1-4
- W Sun 20 Sept H Stade Brestois 29 2-1
- W Sat 12 Sept H Nice 1-0
Last matches · Paris FC
- W Sun 1 Nov H Monaco 3-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Lens 1-2
- W Sun 18 Oct H Rennes 4-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Lorient 0-1
- W Sat 19 Sept H Strasbourg 2-1
- D Sat 12 Sept H Lyon 0-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Auxerre | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Auxerre (H) | Paris FC (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/18 | Auxerre | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 4/18 | Paris FC | 9 | +6 | 17 |
Last meetings
- 2026Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC
- 2025Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.