Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Le Havre vs Lorient: prediction, stats and form
Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Le Havre 36%, the draw 28% and Lorient 36%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Le Havre36%Draw28%Lorient36%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.23 – 1.21
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 64% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 29%Le Havre–Lorient
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 28% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 21%2/2 20% · X/X 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.05.7 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 3.82.1 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 52%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-010%
- 0-110%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Le Havre -0.28 goals per game (14th of 18 in Ligue 1), Lorient +0.04 (12th).
- Le Havre's attack (1.27 goals per game) meets Lorient's defence (1.27 conceded per game).
- Lorient's attack (1.31) meets Le Havre's defence (1.55).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.23 – 1.21 goals: Le Havre 36%, draw 28%, Lorient 36%.
Match facts
Last matches · Le Havre
- L Fri 30 Oct H Paris Saint Germain 1-5
- L Sun 25 Oct A Marseille 3-4
- L Sun 18 Oct H Auxerre 1-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Lille 0-1
- L Sat 19 Sept A Toulouse 2-3
- D Sat 12 Sept H Angers 0-0
Last matches · Lorient
- D Sun 25 Oct A Angers 0-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H Monaco 1-0
- W Sat 10 Oct H Paris FC 1-0
- L Sat 19 Sept A Le Mans 1-2
- D Sat 12 Sept H Toulouse 2-2
- W Sat 5 Sept A Lens 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Le Havre | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Le Havre (H) | Lorient (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/18 | Le Havre | 9 | -11 | 2 |
| 10/18 | Lorient | 8 | +1 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2026Lorient 0-2 Le Havre
- 2025Le Havre 1-1 Lorient
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.