Ligue 1 – Matchday 9: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Ligue 1 Matchday 9 (30 October – 2 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Ligue 1

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Lyon (63% to win against Angers).
Closest on paper: Estac Troyes – Le Mans (39% vs 36%, draw 25%).
Most goals expected: Nice – Rennes (3.3 expected goals); fewest: Lorient – Stade Brestois 29 (2.6).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 8 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 27 goals in these 9 matches (2.95 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 8 · most likely result correct: 7 (88%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 4 (50%) · both teams to score correct: 5 (63%)

Friday 30 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
21:00	Le HavreParis Saint Germain	17%	22%	61%	X283%	55%	53%	8.83.3–5.5	3.01.6–1.4	1-5✅	Preview
21:00	NiceRennes	35%	24%	41%	1276%	64%	66%	11.66.0–5.6	4.02.1–1.9	5-2❌	Preview
23:05	LilleLens	41%	26%	33%	1274%	55%	59%	9.44.6–4.8	4.52.2–2.3	1-0✅	Preview

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:45	Estac TroyesLe Mans	39%	25%	36%	1275%	60%	63%	9.47.3–2.1	3.91.7–2.2	2-0✅	Preview

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
17:00	StrasbourgAuxerre	54%	24%	22%	1X78%	55%	56%	9.14.8–4.3	4.02.1–1.9	5-1✅	Preview
19:15	LyonAngers	63%	22%	15%	1X85%	52%	48%	10.96.5–4.4	3.61.4–2.2	2-0✅	Preview
19:15	Paris FCMonaco	40%	26%	34%	1274%	55%	59%	9.04.3–4.7	4.02.0–2.0	3-1✅	Preview
22:45	MarseilleToulouse	48%	23%	29%	1277%	63%	64%	8.85.5–3.3	4.41.9–2.5	2-0✅	Preview

Monday 2 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:45	LorientStade Brestois 29	44%	27%	29%	1273%	48%	53%	8.84.6–4.2	3.71.5–2.2		Preview

Doha time