Our pick2–1Correct result
Can Lens extend their winning run against Lille?
Lens arrive at Stade Pierre-Mauroy with three consecutive league wins, but Lille’s stronger defensive record and home advantage make this a stern test. The hosts sit third, two places and two points above their visitors.
📍 Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Lille secured a 1-0 win over Lens, with the only goal arriving in the 86th minute. Olivier Giroud scored for Lille, with no assist recorded. There were no red cards.
Lille had 62% possession and led the shot count 16-5, including seven shots on target to Lens’s three. The expected-goals figures were 1.8 for Lille and 0.25 for Lens. Lens goalkeeper R. Risser was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.0. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction for Lille, despite its 41% home-win estimate, compared with 26% for a draw and 33% for a Lens win.
Goals
- 86'Olivier Giroud · Lille
Cards
- 10'Saud Abdulhamid · Lens
- 45'Davide Ancelotti · Lille
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: R. Risser (Lens) 8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Lille · 4-3-3
- 1B. ÖzerG
- 38M. GoffiD
- 3N. NgoyD
- 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
- 15R. PerraudD
- 17N. MukauM
- 6N. BentalebM
- 21B. AndréM
- 8E. MbappéF
- 10H. HaraldssonF
- 35S. DiaouneF
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Lens · 3-4-2-1
- 40R. RisserG
- 2R. AguilarD
- 6S. BaidooD
- 20J. TodiboD
- 23Saud AbdulhamidM
- 21A. HaidaraM
- 27M. CuisanceM
- 14M. UdolM
- 10F. ThauvinM
- 7F. SotocaM
- 9T. HazardF
Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Lens | 2.0 | 1.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 |
Last meetings
- 2026Lille3-0Lens
- 2025Lens3-0Lille
- 2025Lille1-0Lens
- 2024Lens0-2Lille
- 2024Lille2-1Lens
Absences
Lille
- OutH. Igamane · Knee Injury
- OutT. Nianzou · Red Card
- OutT. Santos · Knee Injury
- OutA. Ueda · Foot Injury
Lens
- OutN. Celik · Inactive
- OutJ. Chavez · Coach's decision
- OutO. Edouard · Groin Injury
- OutI. Ganiou · Knee Injury
- OutM. Nawrocki · Knee Injury
- OutA. Sima · Muscle Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.52 – 1.36
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 67% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 33%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 22%Lille–Lens
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 32% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.44.6 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 4.52.2 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-28%
- 0-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
The most recent meeting between Lille and Lens ended with a clear Lille victory: a 3-0 win in April. Now, as the sides meet again in Ligue 1, Lens arrive on a three-game winning run and face a chance to turn that momentum into a statement result.
Lille’s narrow edge in the standings
After eight matches, Lille are third on 15 points, while Lens are seventh on 13. Lille have lost only once and are unbeaten in four home league games, with two wins and two draws at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lens, meanwhile, have won four of their eight matches overall, but only one of four away from home.
Lens bring the goals
Lens have won their last three league matches, scoring 10 goals across their past five games. Their season total of 16 goals is also higher than Lille’s 11, and they have averaged two goals per league match. The attacking threat comes with a caveat: Lens have conceded 12 goals and are yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Lille’s recent five-match record is more measured, with six goals scored and four conceded. Across the league campaign, they have let in just six goals, a defensive record that contrasts sharply with Lens’ more open matches. Lille’s last five head-to-head meetings have also produced four victories for the northern club.
A rivalry with recent swings
Lille won the latest meeting 3-0, as well as the previous home fixture 1-0. Lens had their own emphatic response in September 2025, winning 3-0 at home. The results underline how quickly this derby can swing, even if Lille have taken four of the last five encounters.
Absences on both sides
Lille are without H. Igamane and T. Santos through knee injuries, A. Ueda with a foot injury, and T. Nianzou through suspension after a red card. Lens are missing O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima through injury; N. Celik is inactive, while J. Chavez is absent by the coach’s decision.
Lens’ attack against Lille’s defence
Lens’ strong scoring run will test a Lille side that have conceded fewer than a goal per match so far. The visitors have also scored seven goals in four away league fixtures, but Lille have allowed only three goals in their four home games. That clash between Lens’ forward momentum and Lille’s home resilience could define the match.
Our prediction
Lens’ winning run and attacking output make them a serious threat, but Lille’s unbeaten home record and much tighter defence offer a persuasive counterweight. PreviaXI’s model leans toward the hosts in a close contest, with both sides capable of finding the net.
Lille 2-1 Lens

