Our pick0–2Correct result
Le Havre seek a lift as leaders PSG arrive on a five-game winning run
Le Havre have collected two points from eight matches and are looking to climb the Ligue 1 standings. Paris Saint Germain arrive top of the table after five straight wins.
📍 Stade Océane
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Le Havre took the lead in the 18th minute through Josh Maja, assisted by Rayan Fofana. Paris Saint Germain replied eight minutes later, with Mika Godts scoring from Achraf Hakimi’s assist. Hakimi then set up Senny Mayulu in the 28th minute to put the visitors ahead. Hakimi scored again in the 55th minute, before Mayulu added a fourth in the 62nd, assisted by Hakimi. Hakimi completed the scoring in the 69th minute, leaving the final score 1-5. There were no red cards.
Paris Saint Germain had 71% possession and led the shots on target 10-5, while the xG was 3.13 to 1.91. A. Hakimi was the top-rated player, with a 9.1 rating. The result was more emphatic than the pre-match model’s predicted 0-2 away win; it had given Paris Saint Germain a 61% chance of winning, with 22% for a draw and 17% for Le Havre.
Goals
- 18'Josh Maja · Rayan Fofana · Le Havre
- 26'Mika Godts · Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain
- 28'Achraf Hakimi · Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain
- 55'Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain
- 62'Senny Mayulu · Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain
- 69'Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Hakimi (Paris Saint Germain) 9.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Le Havre · 3-4-2-1
- 16A. BodartG
- 15A. SekoD
- 6J. MwangaD
- 5A. ToubaD
- 20D. OuziadM
- 26S. EbonogM
- 7A. RichardsonM
- 97Lamine N'DiayeM
- 38R. FofanaM
- 30S. NakamuraM
- 9J. MajaF
Coach: D. Digard
Paris Saint Germain · 4-3-3
- 39M. SafonovG
- 2A. HakimiD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 12L. DigneD
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryM
- 11M. AklioucheM
- 27Pedro FernándezM
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 24Senny MayuluF
- 22M. GodtsF
Coach: Luis Enrique
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.0 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | -7 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2026Le Havre0-1Paris Saint Germain
- 2025Paris Saint Germain3-0Le Havre
- 2025Paris Saint Germain2-1Le Havre
- 2024Le Havre1-4Paris Saint Germain
- 2024Paris Saint Germain3-3Le Havre
Absences
Le Havre
- OutE. Jelert · Thigh Injury
- OutF. Mambimbi · Achilles Tendon Injury
- OutL. Mpasi-Nzau · Achilles Tendon Injury
- OutT. Pembele · Muscle Injury
- OutA. Toure · Knee Injury
- OutS. Zagadou · Knee Injury
Paris Saint Germain
- OutO. Dembele · Thigh Injury
- OutK. Kvaratskhelia · Knee Injury
- OutA. Longoni · Injury
- OutMarquinhos · Thigh Injury
- OutN. Mendes · Muscle Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.93 – 1.96
- Double chance
- X2 · 83%1X 39% · 12 78%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 33%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 14% – 39%Le Havre–Paris Saint Germain
- Half-time result
- 2 · 45%1 17% · X 38%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 39%X/2 19% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 8.83.3 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 3.01.6 – 1.4 · Over 3.5: 36%
- Most likely scores
- 0-211%
- 1-111%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-37%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Le Havre need a change in direction
Le Havre have won none of their eight Ligue 1 matches, taking two points, and sit 18th in the standings. Their task is to climb the table against leaders Paris Saint Germain, who have 17 points from eight games. The gap in results is stark, but the home side will have Stade Océane behind them as they seek a first league victory.
Le Havre have scored eight goals this season and conceded 15. Their home record is one draw and three defeats from four matches, with only two goals scored at Stade Océane. PSG, by contrast, have won three of five away games and average two goals per match overall.
A sharp contrast in form
Le Havre’s last five have brought one draw and four defeats: six goals scored and 11 conceded. PSG have won all five of their most recent matches, scoring 11 and letting in just three. Their league sequence has reached five straight wins, while Le Havre’s latest run reads four losses followed by a draw.
PSG have held the upper hand
Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning four and drawing one. The most recent meeting, in February, ended 1-0 to PSG at Le Havre. The sides’ last five encounters have produced 13 PSG goals, while Le Havre have scored five.
Absences on both sides
Le Havre are without E. Jelert, F. Mambimbi, L. Mpasi-Nzau, T. Pembele, A. Toure and S. Zagadou. PSG are missing O. Dembele, K. Kvaratskhelia, A. Longoni, Marquinhos and N. Mendes.
Late goals could matter
Le Havre have scored five of their eight league goals in the 76th minute or later, suggesting they may need patience if they are to make their home support count. PSG have also been productive late, scoring six of their 16 league goals between the 61st and 75th minutes and four more in the final quarter-hour.
Our prediction
PSG’s five-match winning streak, stronger scoring record and unbeaten run in this fixture point to the visitors having the edge, despite several absences. Le Havre’s home scoring record makes a comeback difficult to envisage, and the model’s most likely outcome is a two-goal PSG victory.
Le Havre 0-2 Paris Saint Germain

