5–2 Full time Friday 30 October

Our pick1–2Missed

Nice vs Rennes: A top-two place at stake on the Côte d’Azur

Second-placed Rennes travel to Nice with a chance to strengthen their position in the Ligue 1 qualification race. Nice are tenth, but a home win would cut the gap to two points.

📍 Allianz Riviera

Preview written: Thu 29 Oct 18:03 · Updated after team news: Fri 30 Oct 11:47

All Matchday 9 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Nice beat Rennes 5-2. Sepe Elye Wahi opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 12th minute, but Sebastian Szymański equalised for Rennes three minutes later, assisted by Mahamadou Nagida. Wahi scored a second penalty in the 34th minute, then assisted Jonathan Clauss for Nice’s third in first-half stoppage time. Mohamed Amoura made it 4-1 in the 52nd minute, assisted by Sofiane Diop. Boulaye Dia converted a penalty for Rennes six minutes later, before Wahi completed his hat-trick in the 73rd minute, assisted by Gauthier Hein.

The teams registered 17 and 18 shots respectively, while Rennes edged shots on target 9-8. Nice had the higher expected-goals figure, 3.47 to 2.66, and E. Wahi was the top-rated player with 9.0. The 5-2 result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-2 prediction, which gave Rennes a 41% chance of winning, Nice 35% and a draw 24%.

Goals

12'Sepe Elye Wahi (pen.) · Nice
15'Sebastian Szymański · Mahamadou Nagida · Rennes
34'Sepe Elye Wahi (pen.) · Nice
45+2'Jonathan Clauss · Sepe Elye Wahi · Nice
52'Mohamed Amoura · Sofiane Diop · Nice
58'Boulaye Dia (pen.) · Rennes
73'Sepe Elye Wahi · Gauthier Hein · Nice

Cards

61'Anthony Rouault · Rennes
62'Sepe Elye Wahi · Nice
84'Charlie Cresswell · Rennes
84'Mohamed Abdelmoneim · Nice
84'Mahdi Camara · Rennes
84'Youssouf Ndayishimiye · Nice
88'Mohamed Amoura · Nice

Match stats

NiceRennes

47%Possession53%

17Shots18

8Shots on target9

3.47Expected goals (xG)2.66

4Corners7

8Fouls10

2Offsides3

7Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: E. Wahi (Nice) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Nice · 3-4-2-1

23Y. DioufG
5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
55Y. NdayishimiyeD
35X. Mandza TsiendiD
92J. ClaussM
39D. CoulibalyM
6H. BoudaouiM
27N. NkounkouM
10S. DiopM
9M. AmouraM
11E. WahiF

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Rennes · 3-5-2

16N. LemaîtreG
48A. Ait BoudlalD
4C. CresswellD
24A. RouaultD
95P. FrankowskiM
17S. SzymańskiM
21V. RongierM
28A. ThomassonM
18M. NagidaM
22B. DiaF
11Mousa TamariF

Coach: F. Haise

Match facts

Recent form

NiceLWWLW

RennesWLWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Nice	1.0	1.3
Rennes	2.3	1.8

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Rennes	8	+4	16
10	Nice	8	-2	11

Last meetings

2026Nice0-4Rennes
2025Rennes1-2Nice
2025Rennes2-0Nice
2025Nice3-2Rennes
2024Rennes2-0Nice

Absences

Nice

OutL. Abergel · Knee Injury
OutM. Bombito · Leg Injury
OutA. Mendy · Knee Injury
OutA. Seidu · Loan agreement
DoubtfulA. Abdi · Muscle Injury

Rennes

OutE. Lepaul · Ankle Injury
OutB. Samba · Thigh Injury

PreviaXI model

Nice35%Draw24%Rennes41%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-2
Expected goals (model): 1.58 – 1.73
Double chance: 12 · 76%1X 59% · X2 65%
Over 2.5 goals: 64%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 42%
Both teams score: 66%
Clean sheet: 18% – 21%Nice–Rennes
Half-time result: X · 37%1 30% · 2 33%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 25%1/1 21% · X/2 13%
Expected corners: 11.66.0 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 70%
Expected cards: 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 56%
Most likely scores: 1-110%
1-29%
2-18%
2-27%
0-16%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A chance to close the gap

Rennes can consolidate their place in Ligue 1’s top two, while Nice have the chance to turn an 11-point start into a two-point gap with a home victory. After eight matches, Rennes sit second on 16 points and Nice are tenth on 11, making this a consequential meeting in the early qualification race.

The positions underline the difference between the sides so far, but Nice’s home record offers encouragement: they are unbeaten in four league matches at the Allianz Riviera, with two wins and two draws. Rennes have collected only one win in three away games, despite their stronger overall start.

Rennes bring the sharper attack

Both teams have won three of their last five, but Rennes’ attack has been more productive: 11 goals in that span, compared with seven for Nice. Across the season, Rennes have scored 18 goals in eight matches; Nice have scored eight.

Nice have been more secure at home than away, conceding three times in four home fixtures. Rennes, by contrast, have conceded nine goals in three away matches. That vulnerability could give Nice a route into the game, though Rennes’ scoring record suggests they will pose a persistent threat.

Recent meetings favour Rennes

The last five Ligue 1 meetings are split three wins for Rennes and two for Nice. Rennes won the most recent encounter between these sides at the Allianz Riviera, 4-0 in March, while Nice’s latest home win in the sequence was a 3-2 result in January 2025.

Absences to navigate

Nice are without L. Abergel and M. Bombito through knee and leg injuries respectively, while A. Mendy is also out with a knee injury. A. Seidu is unavailable under a loan agreement, and A. Abdi is questionable with a muscle injury.

Rennes are missing E. Lepaul with an ankle injury and B. Samba with a thigh injury.

Rennes’ scoring edge

Rennes’ 18 goals in eight matches make their attack the standout difference in the teams’ season numbers. Nice will look to their unbeaten home run and comparatively solid home defence, but they must contain a side that has scored 11 times in its last five outings.

Our prediction

Rennes’ greater scoring output gives them the edge, even with their away defensive record leaving Nice room to threaten. PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors in a match where both sides should have chances.

Nice 1-2 Rennes

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