Ligue 1 · Matchday 9 
Our pick2–1Correct result
Paris FC and Monaco separated by one point in Ligue 1
Just one point separates Paris FC and Monaco after eight matches, with both sides on the same goal difference. Recent head-to-head results give the hosts a reason to believe they can seize the edge.
📍 Stade Jean Bouin
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
Match report
Paris FC beat Monaco 3-1. Lassine Sinayoko opened the scoring in the 38th minute, assisted by Maxime López, then added a second six minutes later with Moses Simon providing the assist. Monaco pulled one back in the 65th minute through Folarin Balogun, assisted by Vanderson. Paris FC restored their two-goal advantage in the 74th minute, when Pablo Pagis scored from a Lassine Sinayoko assist. There were no red cards.
Paris FC recorded 19 shots to Monaco’s nine and led 10-2 in shots on target. The expected-goals figures were 2.07 for Paris FC and 0.76 for Monaco. L. Sinayoko was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.6. The result matched the model’s predicted 2-1 home win in outcome, though Paris FC scored one more goal than its forecast; the pre-match probabilities were 40% for a home win, 26% for a draw and 34% for an away win.
Goals
- 38'Lassine Sinayoko · Maxime López · Paris FC
- 44'Lassine Sinayoko · Moses Simon · Paris FC
- 65'Folarin Balogun · Vanderson · Monaco
- 74'Pablo Pagis · Lassine Sinayoko · Paris FC
Cards
- 68'Vanderson · Monaco
- 85'Hamari Traore · Paris FC
- 88'Lamine Camara · Monaco
- 88'Pablo Pagis · Paris FC
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Sinayoko (Paris FC) 9.6
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Paris FC · 4-2-3-1
- 1K. TrappG
- 14H. TraoréD
- 31S. CherguiD
- 42D. CoppolaD
- 6OtávioD
- 20M. LopezM
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 10I. KebbalM
- 7P. PagisM
- 27M. SimonM
- 9L. SinayokoF
Coach: L. Rosenior
Monaco · 4-2-3-1
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 15E. DierD
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 8L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 37E. DiopM
- 11M. AblineM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
Coach: Filipe Luís
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Monaco | 1.4 | 0.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Paris FC4-1Monaco
- 2025Monaco0-1Paris FC
Absences
Paris FC
- OutL. Koleosho · Muscle Injury
- OutN. Sangui · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulA. Camara · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulS. Chergui · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Ikone · Thigh Injury
- DoubtfulK. Trapp · Illness
Monaco
- OutA. Fati · Hamstring Injury
- OutS. Idumbo · Groin Injury
- OutM. Salisu · Coach's decision
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.52 – 1.39
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 66% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 33%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 22%Paris FC–Monaco
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 32% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.04.3 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.0 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
One point, one goal difference
One point is all that separates Paris FC and Monaco after eight Ligue 1 matches, and both have a goal difference of +4. Monaco sit fourth on 15 points, with Paris FC sixth on 14, making this a close contest for an early foothold among the league’s leading sides.
Paris FC have taken three wins and a draw from four home league games, scoring nine goals there. Monaco have also won twice on the road, alongside a draw and a defeat. The standings leave little room for either side to pull away without a result that shifts the balance.
Recent returns are even
Each team has scored seven and conceded seven across its last five matches. Paris FC’s season record stands at four wins, two draws and two defeats; Monaco have four wins, three draws and one defeat.
The recent league form lines point to a difficult spell for both: Paris FC have one win in their last five, while Monaco have two. Paris FC have scored 13 goals in eight matches, compared with Monaco’s 11, and five of the hosts’ goals have arrived in the final 15 minutes. Monaco have conceded seven in total, two fewer than Paris FC.
Paris FC have the recent edge
The last two Ligue 1 meetings went Paris FC’s way. They won 1-0 away at Monaco in November 2025, then followed up with a 4-1 home victory in April 2026. Those results offer the hosts a recent reference point, though the narrow gap in the current table makes this a fresh test.
Absences and doubts
Paris FC will be without L. Koleosho and N. Sangui, both listed with muscle injuries. A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone and K. Trapp are questionable, with hamstring, knee, thigh and illness concerns respectively.
Monaco are missing A. Fati with a hamstring injury and S. Idumbo with a groin injury. M. Salisu is also unavailable following the coach’s decision.
The late threat
Paris FC’s five goals in the 76th-90th-minute period make their ability to press late a notable feature. Monaco, meanwhile, have scored all 11 of their league goals by the 75th minute, with six coming between minutes 46 and 75. The contrast could matter if the match remains close into its closing stages.
Our prediction
Paris FC’s home record and slightly higher scoring output give them a narrow advantage, while their recent wins over Monaco add confidence. PreviaXI’s model also leans toward the hosts in what looks like a close match.
Paris FC 2-1 Monaco
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