La Liga – Matchday 11: predictions & previews

All 10 matches of La Liga Matchday 11 (30 October – 2 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

La Liga

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Barcelona (75% to win against Alaves).
Closest on paper: Getafe – Sevilla (35% vs 30%, draw 35%).
Most goals expected: Racing Santander – Real Madrid (3.9 expected goals); fewest: Getafe – Sevilla (1.8).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 9 of 10 matches.
The model expects about 29 goals in these 10 matches (2.87 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 9 · most likely result correct: 6 (67%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 5 (56%) · both teams to score correct: 3 (33%)

Friday 30 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:00	VillarrealEspanyol	61%	23%	16%	1X84%	55%	52%	9.65.9–3.7	5.22.2–3.0	0-1❌	Preview

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
16:00	LevanteAtletico Madrid	32%	25%	43%	1275%	60%	62%	10.14.0–6.1	4.51.8–2.7	0-2✅	Preview
18:15	Rayo VallecanoCelta Vigo	43%	28%	29%	1272%	45%	50%	9.35.8–3.5	4.82.6–2.2	3-0✅	Preview
20:30	Real BetisMalaga	66%	21%	13%	1X87%	56%	50%	10.35.3–5.0	4.41.8–2.6	2-1✅	Preview
23:00	BarcelonaAlaves	75%	15%	10%	1X90%	71%	57%	11.27.6–3.6	4.21.6–2.6	6-1✅	Preview

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
16:00	GetafeSevilla	35%	35%	30%	1X70%	26%	35%	8.14.1–4.0	6.12.9–3.2	3-1❌	Preview
18:15	Racing SantanderReal Madrid	15%	17%	68%	X285%	75%	67%	12.44.5–7.9	5.12.6–2.5	0-3✅	Preview
20:30	ElcheValencia	40%	28%	32%	1272%	48%	53%	8.54.6–3.9	4.72.4–2.3	0-1❌	Preview
23:00	Athletic ClubReal Sociedad	49%	25%	26%	1275%	55%	58%	10.46.2–4.2	4.62.3–2.3	2-1✅	Preview

Monday 2 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:00	Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna	45%	28%	27%	1X73%	45%	50%	9.45.8–3.6	4.82.2–2.6		Preview

Doha time