La Liga – Matchday 10: predictions & previews

All 10 matches of La Liga Matchday 10 (23 October – 26 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

La Liga

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Alaves (60% to win against Malaga).
Closest on paper: Racing Santander – Espanyol (37% vs 38%, draw 25%).
Most goals expected: Barcelona – Real Madrid (3.8 expected goals); fewest: Athletic Club – Getafe (1.8).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 8 of 10 matches.
The model expects about 28 goals in these 10 matches (2.81 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 5 · most likely result correct: 2 (40%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 3 (60%) · both teams to score correct: 2 (40%)

Friday 23 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
22:00	AlavesMalaga	60%	25%	15%	1X85%	47%	46%	10.15.2–4.9	4.82.3–2.5	1-1❌	Preview

Saturday 24 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
15:00	Rayo VallecanoElche	54%	25%	21%	1X79%	52%	53%	9.95.7–4.2	5.22.6–2.6	0-3❌	Preview
17:15	Racing SantanderEspanyol	37%	25%	38%	1275%	63%	65%	11.15.5–5.6	5.62.6–3.0	2-1❌	Preview
19:30	ValenciaVillarreal	32%	28%	40%	1272%	49%	54%	9.55.3–4.2	4.42.0–2.4	1-2✅	Preview
22:00	Atletico MadridDeportivo La Coruna	57%	25%	18%	1X82%	51%	51%	11.67.8–3.8	4.22.0–2.2	1-0✅	Preview

Sunday 25 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
16:00	Athletic ClubGetafe	50%	32%	18%	1X82%	28%	33%	9.96.8–3.1	5.42.3–3.1	Preview
18:15	Celta VigoReal Betis	40%	27%	33%	1273%	50%	55%	8.34.4–3.9	4.12.0–2.1	Preview
20:30	Real SociedadLevante	50%	23%	27%	1277%	67%	66%	11.07.3–3.7	5.02.5–2.5	Preview
23:00	BarcelonaReal Madrid	55%	21%	24%	1279%	72%	70%	10.55.9–4.6	4.11.8–2.3	Preview

Monday 26 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:00	SevillaOsasuna	39%	29%	32%	1271%	45%	51%	7.84.9–2.9	5.42.8–2.6		Preview

Doha time