La Liga · Matchday 10 Athletic Club vs Getafe: Level on Points, Five Goals Apart
Getafe's 2-0 win in April is the most recent meeting between these sides, and it still colours this encounter at San Mamés. Both teams sit on nine points, so a single result could open a gap.
📍 San Mamés Stadium
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Getafe | 0.6 | 1.2 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.23 – 0.62
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 68% · X2 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28%
- Both teams score
- 33%
- Expected corners
- 9.96.8 – 3.1 · Over 9.5: 52%
- Expected cards
- 5.42.3 – 3.1 · Over 3.5: 76%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Athletic Club
- Power ratings: Athletic Club +0.10 goals per game (6th of 20 in La Liga), Getafe -0.33 (18th).
- Athletic Club's attack (1.33 goals per game) meets Getafe's defence (1.13 conceded per game).
- Getafe's attack (0.80) meets Athletic Club's defence (1.23).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.23 – 0.62 goals: Athletic Club 50%, draw 32%, Getafe 18%.
Absences
Athletic Club
- OutU. Egiluz · Knee Injury
- OutG. Guruzeta · Knee Injury
- OutA. Laporte · Red Card
- OutO. Sancet · Muscle Injury
Getafe
- OutDjene · Red Card
- OutJuanmi · Knee Injury
- OutC. Uche · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulO. Mangala · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulZ. Romero · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulE. Unal · Ankle Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Athletic Club
- Robert Navarro2 goals in 8 games19%
- Álex Berenguer2 goals in 9 games17%
- Aitor Paredes1 goals in 7 games11%
Getafe
- E. Ünal3 goals in 11 games13%
- Iván Azón2 goals in 6 games12%
- M. Satriano2 goals in 13 games8%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Getafe have not won in their last 8 away matches.
- 6 of Getafe’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
Season stats
| · | Athletic Club | Getafe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-3 | 1-2-1 | 2-3-4 | 0-0-4 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.56 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.12 | 1.00 | 1.22 | 2.00 |
| xG per game | 1.53 | 1.67 | 0.62 | 0.34 |
| xG against per game | 1.34 | 0.58 | 1.49 | 1.86 |
| Scored in | 62% | 75% | 56% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 25% | 44% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 50% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 50% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 15.4 | 17.8 | 10.9 | 7.2 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.1 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Shots on target | 27% | 28% | 25% | 21% |
| Possession | 55% | 60% | 37% | 37% |
| Passes per game | 502.8 | 542.8 | 291.8 | 296.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 72% | 71% |
| Corners per game | 6.5 | 6.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Corners against per game | 4.2 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 4.8 |
| Cards per game | 2.4 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Fouls per game | 11.8 | 11.5 | 14.0 | 15.5 |
League matches this season (La Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Athletic Club
- 0-150 / 1
- 16-302 / 2
- 31-450 / 1
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-752 / 0
- 76-90+1 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Getafe
- 0-150 / 2
- 16-301 / 1
- 31-450 / 2
- 46-601 / 1
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 3
Usual formation: 4-4-2
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Racing Santander | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Elche | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | -12 | 5 |
Next matches
Athletic Club
- Sun 1 NovAthletic Club – Real SociedadLa Liga
- Sat 7 NovOsasuna – Athletic ClubLa Liga
- Sun 22 NovAthletic Club – EspanyolLa Liga
Getafe
- Sun 1 NovGetafe – SevillaLa Liga
- Thu 5 NovGetafe – BrightonUEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 NovVillarreal – GetafeLa Liga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Athletic Club 2 wins · 6 draws · Getafe 2 wins
- 05/04/2026Getafe2-0Athletic ClubLa Liga
- 25/10/2025Athletic Club0-1GetafeLa Liga
- 15/05/2025Getafe0-2Athletic ClubLa Liga
- 15/08/2024Athletic Club1-1GetafeLa Liga
- 03/05/2024Getafe0-2Athletic ClubLa Liga
- 27/09/2023Athletic Club2-2GetafeLa Liga
- 01/04/2023Athletic Club0-0GetafeLa Liga
- 18/10/2022Getafe2-2Athletic ClubLa Liga
- 18/03/2022Athletic Club1-1GetafeLa Liga
- 06/12/2021Getafe0-0Athletic ClubLa Liga
Getafe’s 2-0 win over Athletic Club in April is the latest meeting between these two, and it remains a useful reminder of how little separates them. On Sunday they meet again at San Mamés, where both sides are looking for a decisive edge.
Level on nine points, five goals apart
Athletic Club sit 13th with nine points from eight games. Getafe are 15th on the same total, but from nine matches. The difference lies in goal difference: Athletic are at minus one, while Getafe are at minus six. In a 20-team league where the margins are this thin, a win would lift the winner clear of a congested middle and a lot of bad feeling would disappear with it.
Getafe’s away problem, Athletic’s stalled run
Athletic have been drawing more than winning, with three draws and a defeat in their last four league games. At home they have won one, drawn two and lost one, scoring five and conceding four in those matches.
Getafe’s problem is travel. They have lost all four of their away games this season and have not scored once on the road. Across nine matches they have found the net only five times, and they have conceded 11.
Head-to-head: a rivalry with no clear edge
The last five meetings have been finely balanced. Athletic won 2-0 at Getafe in May 2025 and 2-0 there in May 2024, while Getafe took the points at San Mamés with a 1-0 win last October. The most recent result, Getafe’s 2-0 victory in April, gives them the edge in the last two encounters. The only other meeting was a 1-1 draw at San Mamés in August 2024.
Injury list thins both squads
Athletic will be without Unai Egiluz and Gorka Guruzeta, both sidelined by knee injuries, while Oihan Sancet is out with a muscle problem. Aitor Laporte misses the match after a red card.
Getafe have their own problems. Djene is unavailable after a red card, and Juanmi and Carlos Uche are out with knee injuries. Omar Mangala, Zakaria Romero and Enes Ünal are all doubts, with muscle and ankle concerns.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Athletic Club, and that makes sense on the evidence. Athletic create more chances and have the advantage of playing at San Mamés, where they have been difficult to break down. Getafe have struggled to score away from home all season and are missing several players. Expect a tight, cagey game, with Athletic edging it.
Athletic Club 1-0 Getafe
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