La Liga · Matchday 10 Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: Fourth meets eighth in a clash of styles
Real Betis sit fourth in La Liga, Celta Vigo eighth, but the two sides approach this Sunday meeting in very different ways: Betis score freely on the road, while Celta are at their best when keeping the door shut.
📍 Municipal de Balaídos
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Real Betis | 1.8 | 1.6 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 68% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Expected corners
- 8.34.4 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 32%
- Expected cards
- 4.12.0 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 58%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Celta Vigo
- Power ratings: Celta Vigo -0.01 goals per game (7th of 20 in La Liga), Real Betis +0.21 (5th).
- Celta Vigo's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Real Betis's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
- Real Betis's attack (1.58) meets Celta Vigo's defence (1.27).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.40 – 1.25 goals: Celta Vigo 40%, draw 28%, Real Betis 32%.
Absences
Celta Vigo
- OutJ. El Abdellaoui · Knee Injury
- OutB. Iglesias · Calf Injury
- OutA. Nunez · Groin Injury
- OutM. Roman · Knee Injury
- OutC. Starfelt · Muscle Injury
Real Betis
- OutF. Bernal · Red Card
- OutJ. Firpo · Groin Injury
- OutC. Hernandez · Calf Injury
- OutI. Losada · Inactive
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Celta Vigo
- Javi Rodríguez3 goals in 8 games28%
- Pablo Durán2 goals in 8 games17%
- Ferran Jutglà2 goals in 12 games15%
Real Betis
- A. Ezzalzouli4 goals in 8 games21%
- Isco4 goals in 11 games16%
- Marc Bartra3 goals in 8 games16%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Real Betis have scored in each of their last 22 matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Real Betis’s last 8 matches.
- Celta Vigo are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings with Real Betis.
Season stats
| · | Celta Vigo | Real Betis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-5-2 | 2-1-2 | 6-1-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.11 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.78 | 1.20 | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| xG per game | 0.94 | 1.18 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| xG against per game | 1.19 | 1.52 | 2.00 | 1.96 |
| Scored in | 56% | 80% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 20% | 44% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 60% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 100% | 56% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Shots per game | 9.4 | 9.6 | 16.4 | 18.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Shots on target | 34% | 44% | 38% | 34% |
| Possession | 50% | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Passes per game | 507.0 | 503.4 | 495.2 | 516.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 2.8 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Corners against per game | 4.7 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 7.8 |
| Cards per game | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Fouls per game | 12.2 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 8.8 |
League matches this season (La Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Celta Vigo
- 0-151 / 0
- 16-300 / 3
- 31-453 / 0
- 46-602 / 1
- 61-752 / 1
- 76-90+2 / 2
Usual formation: 3-4-3
Real Betis
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-301 / 2
- 31-457 / 2
- 46-601 / 5
- 61-752 / 2
- 76-90+3 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Racing Santander | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Elche | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | -12 | 5 |
Next matches
Celta Vigo
- Sat 31 OctRayo Vallecano – Celta VigoLa Liga
- Thu 5 NovCelta Vigo – Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovCelta Vigo – LevanteLa Liga
Real Betis
- Sat 31 OctReal Betis – MalagaLa Liga
- Wed 4 NovBorussia Dortmund – Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 NovElche – Real BetisLa Liga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Celta Vigo 5 wins · 4 draws · Real Betis 1 wins
- 15/03/2026Real Betis1-1Celta VigoLa Liga
- 27/08/2025Celta Vigo1-1Real BetisLa Liga
- 08/02/2025Celta Vigo3-2Real BetisLa Liga
- 10/11/2024Real Betis2-2Celta VigoLa Liga
- 12/04/2024Real Betis2-1Celta VigoLa Liga
- 03/01/2024Celta Vigo2-1Real BetisLa Liga
- 04/02/2023Real Betis3-4Celta VigoLa Liga
- 02/10/2022Celta Vigo1-0Real BetisLa Liga
- 20/03/2022Celta Vigo0-0Real BetisLa Liga
- 02/01/2022Real Betis0-2Celta VigoLa Liga
Real Betis sit fourth in La Liga with 19 points from nine matches, while Celta Vigo are eighth with 11. On paper that is a wide gap, yet the two sides’ profiles suggest a far more balanced contest: Betis are built to score, Celta to keep clean sheets at home.
Fourth against eighth, and not by much
Celta actually have the slightly better goal difference (+3 to Betis’s +2), which underlines how closely matched these teams have been over the campaign. Sunday’s match at the Municipal de Balaídos is a chance for Celta to close the gap on the teams above them, while Betis will be looking to keep pace with the European places.
Betis’s attack against Celta’s defence
Celta’s recent defensive form is the headline. They have conceded just three goals in their last five matches, and they have kept four clean sheets in nine league games. At home they have scored nine and conceded six, and they have been unbeaten there in their last five, though they have not won away from home yet this season, drawing all four of their trips.
Betis bring the more prolific attack. They have scored 16 goals this season and 11 in their last five, averaging over two a game. The concern is at the other end: they have conceded 14, seven of them on the road, and their away defensive record is the weak spot Celta will hope to exploit.
Head-to-head
These sides have produced plenty of goals and plenty of stalemates. Three of the last five meetings ended level, including the two most recent, both 1-1. Celta won the other meeting 3-2 at home in February 2025, while Betis took a 2-1 win in Seville in April 2024. Across those five games, 16 goals have been scored.
Team news
Celta will be without J. El Abdellaoui (knee), B. Iglesias (calf), A. Nunez (groin), M. Roman (knee) and C. Starfelt (muscle). Betis are missing F. Bernal, who is suspended after a red card, along with J. Firpo (groin) and C. Hernandez (calf). I. Losada is listed as doubtful.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model gives Celta a slight edge, and the football behind that lean is clear. Celta’s home record is built on limiting opponents, while Betis have struggled to contain sides away from home. Expect a tight, cagey game in which Celta’s organisation at the Balaídos should be enough to edge a low-scoring contest.
Celta Vigo 1-0 Real Betis
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