La Liga · Matchday 10 Real Sociedad vs Levante: Sociedad's recent edge over a familiar opponent
Real Sociedad have won three of the last five meetings with Levante, most recently 2-0 in April. Sunday's La Liga clash looks set to test whether that advantage still holds.
📍 Anoeta Stadium
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Levante | 1.7 | 1.9 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.01 – 1.43
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 73% · X2 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Both teams score
- 67%
- Expected corners
- 11.07.3 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 5.02.5 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 72%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Real Sociedad
- Power ratings: Real Sociedad -0.05 goals per game (11th of 20 in La Liga), Levante -0.18 (14th).
- Real Sociedad's attack (1.53 goals per game) meets Levante's defence (1.62 conceded per game).
- Levante's attack (1.44) meets Real Sociedad's defence (1.58).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.01 – 1.43 goals: Real Sociedad 50%, draw 23%, Levante 27%.
Absences
Real Sociedad
- OutL. Beitia · Ankle Injury
- OutA. Odriozola · Knee Injury
Levante
- OutE. Bardeli · Muscle Injury
- OutDela · Overload
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Real Sociedad
- L. Sučić5 goals in 11 games28%
- Sergio Gómez3 goals in 12 games17%
- O. Óskarsson3 goals in 10 games17%
Levante
- Brugui5 goals in 8 games32%
- Iván Romero3 goals in 9 games18%
- Ifeanyi Ndukwe1 goals in 5 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- 7 of Real Sociedad’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Levante have not won in their last 6 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Real Sociedad’s last 8 matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Levante’s last 8 matches.
- Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Real Sociedad have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
Season stats
| · | Real Sociedad | Levante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-3 | 2-1-1 | 2-4-3 | 0-3-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.89 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 0.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.89 | 1.50 | 1.89 | 1.40 |
| xG per game | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.41 | 0.73 |
| xG against per game | 1.67 | 1.34 | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| Scored in | 67% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 25% | 22% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 50% | 33% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 75% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 75% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 25% | 56% | 20% |
| Shots per game | 14.1 | 13.2 | 11.9 | 8.6 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| Shots on target | 38% | 42% | 39% | 21% |
| Possession | 49% | 49% | 43% | 46% |
| Passes per game | 467.9 | 455.0 | 375.9 | 385.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 81% | 82% |
| Corners per game | 7.0 | 8.5 | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Corners against per game | 4.9 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Cards per game | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Fouls per game | 12.2 | 15.2 | 10.2 | 10.4 |
League matches this season (La Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Real Sociedad
- 0-153 / 0
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-453 / 2
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-753 / 7
- 76-90+4 / 4
Usual formation: 4-4-2
Levante
- 0-150 / 3
- 16-303 / 1
- 31-452 / 4
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+7 / 4
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | +30 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | +14 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Racing Santander | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 |  Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Elche | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 |  Getafe | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Espanyol | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 10 | -12 | 5 |
Next matches
Real Sociedad
- Sun 1 NovAthletic Club – Real SociedadLa Liga
- Thu 5 NovReal Sociedad – LyonUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovReal Sociedad – Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Levante
- Sat 31 OctLevante – Atletico MadridLa Liga
- Sun 8 NovCelta Vigo – LevanteLa Liga
- Sun 22 NovLevante – ElcheLa Liga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Real Sociedad 4 wins · 3 draws · Levante 3 wins
- 04/04/2026Real Sociedad2-0LevanteLa Liga
- 20/12/2025Levante1-1Real SociedadLa Liga
- 06/05/2022Levante2-1Real SociedadLa Liga
- 28/08/2021Real Sociedad1-0LevanteLa Liga
- 07/03/2021Real Sociedad1-0LevanteLa Liga
- 19/12/2020Levante2-1Real SociedadLa Liga
- 06/07/2020Levante1-1Real SociedadLa Liga
- 30/10/2019Real Sociedad1-2LevanteLa Liga
- 15/03/2019Real Sociedad1-1LevanteLa Liga
- 09/11/2018Levante1-3Real SociedadLa Liga
Real Sociedad’s most recent meeting with Levante ended 2-0 in April, and it fits a wider pattern. In the last five league encounters between the sides, Sociedad have won three, Levante one, with a 1-1 draw in between.
Sociedad’s grip on a tight rivalry
The table gives Sociedad a clear edge. They sit fifth on 16 points from nine games, while Levante are 11th on 10 points with a goal difference of -2. Yet the head-to-head record shows these games are rarely comfortable. Four of the last five have been decided by a single goal or ended level, so a narrow margin is the likely script again.
Form: Sociedad’s consistency against Levante’s travelling struggles
Sociedad arrive in better shape, having won four of their last five in the league, with their only defeat in that run coming in the middle of it. Over their last five matches they have scored 14 and conceded 11.
Levante have been far less convincing away from home. They have taken just two points from their five away trips this season, scoring only twice on the road, although they have kept two clean sheets there. Their last five league results, including two defeats, reflect a side struggling to build momentum.
Missing names on both sides
Sociedad will be without J. Aramburu (leg injury) and A. Odriozola (knee injury), while L. Beitia (ankle) and Y. Herrera (calf) are doubts. Levante are missing E. Bardeli (muscle) and A. Primo (shoulder), with Dela and H. Sotelo (knee) also uncertain.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Real Sociedad, and the football behind that makes sense. Sociedad have the stronger attack and the better recent scoring record, and they have been the more reliable side at home this season. Levante have found goals hard to come by away from home, but they have shown in these meetings that they can score and make a game of it, so this should be an open contest rather than a one-sided one.
Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante
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