Our pick1–2Missed
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: Eleven Goals Apart, One Place Between Them
Racing Santander and Espanyol sit level on eight points and one place apart, so a win at El Sardinero on Saturday could be the first real step out of the bottom three. Both sides have been far from convincing this season.
📍 El Sardinero
Match report
Racing Santander beat Espanyol 2-1 in round 10 of La Liga. Espanyol took the lead in the 62nd minute, when Eduardo Expósito Jaén scored, assisted by Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa. Racing Santander replied in the 69th minute through Jeanuël Belocian, assisted by Sergio Canales, and went ahead in the 84th minute when Yassir Zabiri scored, assisted by Alvaro Mantilla. No red cards were shown.
Racing had 55% of the possession and took 23 shots to Espanyol's 11, although only 9 of them were on target compared with 1 for the visitors. Racing's expected goals total was 2.5 against 0.62 for Espanyol, and the home side won the corner count 9 to 4. Espanyol's goalkeeper made 7 saves. Edu Expósito was the top-rated player with a rating of 8.2. The result differed from the pre-match model, which predicted a 1-2 scoreline and gave Espanyol a 38% chance of winning, Racing Santander 37% and a draw 25%.
Goals
- 62'Eduardo Expósito Jaén · Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa · Espanyol
- 69'Jeanuël Belocian · Sergio Canales · Racing Santander
- 84'Yassir Zabiri · Alvaro Mantilla · Racing Santander
Cards
- 8'Iñigo Vicente · Racing Santander
- 17'Pol Lozano · Espanyol
- 43'José Manuel González Álvarez · Espanyol
- 67'Pablo Ramon Parra · Racing Santander
- 70'Urko Gonzalez · Espanyol
- 89'Javi Puado · Espanyol
- 90'Eduardo Expósito Jaén · Espanyol
- 90+7'Jorge Salinas Viadero · Racing Santander
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Edu Expósito (Espanyol) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Racing Santander · 4-2-3-1
- 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 2Álvaro MantillaD
- 5Pablo RamónD
- 24J. BelocianD
- 17Jorge SalinasD
- 18M. PratiM
- 23Iván MartínM
- 11Andrés MartínM
- 20Sergio CanalesM
- 10Iñigo VicenteM
- 21M. ZabiriF
Coach: José Alberto López
Espanyol · 4-4-2
- 1Ángel FortuñoG
- 23O. El HilaliD
- 16V. DrkušićD
- 6L. CabreraD
- 3Q. HartmanD
- 28Javier HernandezM
- 8Edu ExpósitoM
- 10Pol LozanoM
- 15Bryan ZaragozaM
- 9Roberto FernándezF
- 22Álex CalatravaF
Coach: Manolo González
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Espanyol | 1.2 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | -12 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2024Racing Santander2-0Espanyol
- 2023Espanyol2-0Racing Santander
- 2012Espanyol3-1Racing Santander
- 2011Racing Santander0-1Espanyol
- 2011Espanyol1-2Racing Santander
Absences
Racing Santander
- DoubtfulS. Eriksson · Shoulder Injury
Espanyol
- OutK. Garcia · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulJofre · Groin Injury
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.61 – 1.63
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 62% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Expected corners
- 11.15.5 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 5.62.6 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 80%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A whisker between two struggling sides
Eight points each, one place apart, and separated by little more than goal difference: Racing Santander and Espanyol meet at El Sardinero on Saturday with a clear chance for either side to edge ahead.
After nine matches, 17th-placed Racing and 16th-placed Espanyol have the same points tally. The difference lies in the goals. Espanyol’s goal difference is -1, while Racing’s stands at -12. In a league of 20, that is the gap between two teams who are still searching for consistency.
Home comfort, away misery
Racing’s season has been defined by location. At El Sardinero they have two wins, two draws and no defeats from four matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 7. Away from home they have lost all five games, conceding 18 times. Their last five league matches have brought six goals scored and 17 conceded.
Espanyol have been similarly inconsistent. They have one win, one draw and two defeats on the road, and one win, one draw and three defeats at home. Their last five matches have produced five goals scored and seven conceded. Both clubs arrive with the same recent sequence in the standings: lose, draw, lose, lose, win.
Head-to-head
Espanyol have the edge over the years, winning three of the last five meetings. The two most recent encounters were both 2-0 victories, one for each side: Espanyol at home in August 2023, and Racing at home in February 2024.
Team news
Racing will be without a fully clear bill of health, with S. Eriksson a doubt because of a shoulder problem. Espanyol face a bigger test: K. Garcia is out with a hamstring injury, and Jofre is a doubt after a groin problem.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model gives Espanyol a marginal edge, and the balance of the numbers points to a tight, open contest. Racing’s home record suggests they can hurt anyone at El Sardinero, but Espanyol’s travelling side has been the more reliable of the two away from their own ground. Expect both teams to find the net in a game where the visitors take the points.
Racing Santander 1-2 Espanyol

