La Liga · Matchday 11
Deportivo La Coruna
Doha time
Osasuna

Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna seek the edge in a tight table

Both teams have 11 points after 10 matches, with Deportivo two places above Osasuna on goal difference. At Riazor, the hosts will look to make home advantage count against an away side that has conceded heavily on its travels.

📍 Estadio de Riazor

Preview written: · Team news checked:

Match facts

Recent form

Deportivo La CorunaLDLDL
OsasunaLDLWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Deportivo La Coruna1.31.3
Osasuna1.02.0

PreviaXI model

Deportivo La Coruna45%Draw28%Osasuna27%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals (model)
1.43 – 1.04
Double chance
1X · 73%12 72% · X2 55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
Both teams score
50%
Clean sheet
36% – 24%Deportivo La Coruna–Osasuna
Half-time result
X · 44%1 34% · 2 22%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 27%X/X 18% · X/1 16%
Expected corners
9.45.8 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 46%
Expected cards
4.82.2 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 69%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-113%
  2. 1-011%
  3. 0-09%
  4. 2-19%
  5. 2-09%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Deportivo La Coruna

  • Power ratings: Deportivo La Coruna -0.03 goals per game (9th of 20 in La Liga), Osasuna -0.11 (13th).
  • Deportivo La Coruna's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Osasuna's defence (1.39 conceded per game).
  • Osasuna's attack (1.28) meets Deportivo La Coruna's defence (1.29).
  • Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
  • Put together, the model expects 1.43 – 1.04 goals: Deportivo La Coruna 45%, draw 28%, Osasuna 27%.

Power ratings: La Liga →

Absences

Deportivo La Coruna

  • OutP. Aubameyang · Knee Injury
  • OutM. Casado · Collarbone injury
  • OutZ. Eddahchouri · Wrist Injury
  • OutB. Ede · Hamstring Injury

Osasuna

  • OutJ. Herrando · Muscle Injury
  • DoubtfulR. Del Castillo · Muscle Injury
  • DoubtfulA. Oroz · Hamstring Injury

Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.

Chance to score

Deportivo La Coruna

  • Diego Villares1 goals in 6 games11%
  • Mario Soriano1 goals in 10 games9%
  • B. Nsongo1 goals in 10 games9%

Osasuna

  • A. Budimir7 goals in 10 games41%
  • Asier Osambela1 goals in 8 games7%
  • Raúl García1 goals in 10 games6%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Season stats

·Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna
·AllHomeAllAway
Won-drawn-lost2-5-31-3-13-2-51-0-4
Goals scored per game1.301.201.001.20
Goals conceded per game1.301.002.003.40
xG per game1.201.021.511.49
xG against per game1.171.001.411.88
Scored in80%80%60%60%
Clean sheets0%0%30%0%
Failed to score20%20%40%40%
Both teams scored80%80%40%60%
Over 1.5 goals80%80%80%100%
Over 2.5 goals30%20%40%80%
Over 3.5 goals30%20%30%60%
Shots per game12.012.010.78.8
Shots on target per game4.44.44.13.6
Shots on target37%37%38%41%
Possession48%45%47%47%
Passes per game443.1429.8401.2439.4
Pass accuracy84%84%80%84%
Corners per game5.15.03.62.4
Corners against per game5.25.05.16.4
Cards per game2.32.22.62.4
Fouls per game12.313.814.012.4

League matches this season (La Liga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Deportivo La Coruna

  • 0-150 / 1
  • 16-303 / 3
  • 31-451 / 3
  • 46-600 / 4
  • 61-753 / 1
  • 76-90+5 / 2

Usual formation: 4-4-2

Osasuna

  • 0-151 / 3
  • 16-301 / 4
  • 31-451 / 2
  • 46-605 / 3
  • 61-752 / 3
  • 76-90+1 / 4

Usual formation: 5-4-1

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsRecent form
1Barcelona11100146:12+3430WLWWW
2Atletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
3Real Madrid1190228:10+1827WWWWL
4Real Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real Sociedad1161420:20019LWWWW
6Sevilla1152417:19-217LWLDL
7Athletic Club1043314:10+415WWLDD
8Villarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
9Celta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
10Alaves1133515:17-212LDLLD
11Rayo Vallecano1033415:20-512WLDDW
12Getafe113358:16-812WLDLW
13Deportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
14Espanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
15Osasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
16Racing Santander1132615:29-1411LWLDL
17Elche1124514:18-410LWDDW
18Levante1124516:21-510LLWDD
19Valencia112368:17-99WLDDL
20Malaga110568:21-135LDLDL

Table as of

Next matches

Deportivo La Coruna

  • Sat 7 NovEspanyol – Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • Sun 22 NovAlaves – Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • Sun 29 NovDeportivo La Coruna – BarcelonaLa Liga

Osasuna

  • Sat 7 NovOsasuna – Athletic ClubLa Liga
  • Sun 22 NovOsasuna – MalagaLa Liga
  • Sun 29 NovValencia – OsasunaLa Liga

Head-to-head: last 9 meetings

Deportivo La Coruna 3 wins · 3 draws · Osasuna 3 wins

  • 16/12/2021Deportivo La Coruna1-2OsasunaCopa del Rey
  • 13/04/2019Osasuna2-1Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División
  • 24/11/2018Deportivo La Coruna2-0OsasunaSegunda División
  • 30/04/2017Osasuna2-2Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 18/12/2016Deportivo La Coruna2-0OsasunaLa Liga
  • 20/01/2013Osasuna2-1Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 20/08/2012Deportivo La Coruna2-0OsasunaLa Liga
  • 02/03/2011Osasuna0-0Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 17/10/2010Deportivo La Coruna0-0OsasunaLa Liga

A narrow gap, a clear opportunity

The table leaves little between Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna: both have 11 points from 10 matches in La Liga, with Deportivo 12th and Osasuna 14th. Their goal differences tell a different story, however. Deportivo are level on goals, while Osasuna sit at -10, giving the visitors a clear incentive to tighten up as they chase a decisive edge in this close contest.

Deportivo’s home record offers encouragement: one win, three draws and one defeat in five matches at Riazor. Osasuna have won once in five away games and lost four, conceding 17 goals on the road. Those contrasting records give the hosts a platform, though neither side has built a comfortable cushion in the standings.

Recent returns point to a tight contest

Deportivo have taken two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five league matches, scoring four and conceding seven. Osasuna have scored five in their last five, but have let in 12. The visitors’ away defensive record is a particular concern; Deportivo, meanwhile, have scored six times in five home league games.

A rivalry with recent away wins

The most recent meeting came in the Copa del Rey in December 2021, when Osasuna won 2-1 at Riazor. The last five encounters have produced two wins for each club and a draw. Deportivo’s 2-0 home victory in December 2016 is one reminder that the hosts have also had success in this fixture.

Absences could shape the options

Deportivo will be without P. Aubameyang, M. Casado, Z. Eddahchouri and B. Ede through injury. Osasuna are missing J. Herrando, while R. Del Castillo and A. Oroz are doubts with muscle and hamstring injuries respectively.

Defensive control may be decisive

Deportivo’s home matches have brought six goals for and five against, a steadier balance than Osasuna’s away figures of six scored and 17 conceded. Osasuna have scored five times in the 46th-60th-minute period across their league campaign, so Deportivo will need to stay alert after the interval. The hosts’ stronger home footing could be decisive if they keep the game controlled.

Our prediction

Deportivo’s home record and Osasuna’s difficulties away from home give the hosts the stronger case in a matchup between two sides level on points. PreviaXI’s model also favours Deportivo, with a narrow home win the likeliest outcome.

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Osasuna

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