0–3 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick1–2Correct result

Real Madrid’s winning run faces a test at Racing Santander

Real Madrid travel to El Sardinero aiming to extend a run of three straight league wins. Racing Santander’s home record offers hope, but their recent defensive struggles make the challenge steep.

📍 El Sardinero

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:36 · Updated after team news: Sun 1 Nov 08:20

All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Real Madrid defeated Racing Santander 3-0. Kylian Mbappé put the visitors ahead from the penalty spot in the 11th minute, and Jude Bellingham doubled the lead ten minutes later, assisted by Arda Güler. Yan Diomande added a third in the 36th minute. All three goals came before half-time, and there were no red cards.

Real Madrid had 54% possession and led the shot count 22-10, with seven shots on target to Racing Santander’s one. The visitors also had the higher expected-goals figure, 3.5 to 1.23. J. Bellingham was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The 0-3 result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s predicted 1-2, though it had favoured a Real Madrid win at 68%.

Goals

11'Kylian Mbappé (pen.) · Real Madrid
21'Jude Bellingham · Arda Güler · Real Madrid
36'Yan Diomande · Real Madrid

Cards

34'Jeanuël Belocian · Racing Santander
45+1'Iker Luque · Racing Santander

Match stats

Racing SantanderReal Madrid

46%Possession54%

10Shots22

1Shots on target7

1.23Expected goals (xG)3.50

4Corners6

10Fouls8

0Offsides2

5Saves1

⭐ Top-rated player: J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Racing Santander · 4-2-3-1

13Julen AgirrezabalaG
2Álvaro MantillaD
5Pablo RamónD
24J. BelocianD
3Aarón MartínD
23Iván MartínM
18M. PratiM
19Iker LuqueM
20Sergio CanalesM
10Iñigo VicenteM
21M. ZabiriF

Coach: José Alberto López

Real Madrid · 4-2-3-1

1T. CourtoisG
12T. Alexander-ArnoldD
4D. HuijsenD
16I. KonatéD
17Marc CucurellaD
14A. TchouaméniM
20Bernardo SilvaM
15A. GülerM
5J. BellinghamM
25Y. DiomandeM
10Kylian MbappéF

Coach: José Mourinho

Match facts

Recent form

Racing SantanderLLDLW

Real MadridWLWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Racing Santander	1.5	2.6
Real Madrid	2.5	1.0

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	Real Madrid	10	+15	24
15	Racing Santander	10	-11	11

Last meetings

2012Real Madrid4-0Racing Santander
2011Racing Santander0-0Real Madrid
2011Racing Santander1-3Real Madrid
2010Real Madrid6-1Racing Santander

Absences

Racing Santander

OutJ. Salinas · Yellow Cards
DoubtfulA. Martin · Muscle Injury

Real Madrid

OutR. Asencio · Broken Leg
OutRodrygo · Knee Injury
OutF. Valverde · Hamstring Injury
OutVinicius Junior · Red Card

PreviaXI model

Racing Santander15%Draw17%Real Madrid68%

Model confidence: Strong

Predicted score: 1-2
Expected goals (model): 1.24 – 2.69
Double chance: X2 · 85%1X 32% · 12 83%
Over 2.5 goals: 75%Over 1.5: 91% · Over 3.5: 55%
Both teams score: 67%
Clean sheet: 7% – 29%Racing Santander–Real Madrid
Half-time result: 2 · 52%1 17% · X 31%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 46%X/2 17% · X/X 9%
Expected corners: 12.44.5 – 7.9 · Over 9.5: 77%
Expected cards: 5.12.6 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 75%
Most likely scores: 1-29%
1-38%
0-27%
1-17%
0-36%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A chance to keep climbing

Real Madrid can extend their winning run to four league matches and strengthen their position in the top three, while Racing Santander need a result to move away from the lower half. The visitors sit third on 24 points after 10 games; Racing are 15th with 11.

The venue is El Sardinero in Santander, where Racing have yet to lose in five league home matches. That record is a meaningful counterpoint to the gulf in the table, even as Madrid arrive with momentum.

Madrid’s surge, Racing’s defensive test

Real Madrid have won three consecutive league games and eight of their 10 matches overall. Their last five brought 11 goals scored and six conceded, while their season tally stands at 25 goals.

Racing have alternated wins and defeats recently, with their last five producing six goals for and 17 against. They have taken 11 points from 10 matches and have not lost at home, winning three and drawing two. But they have conceded 26 goals overall, including 18 away from home, and have yet to keep a clean sheet.

Madrid’s scoring threat has been particularly pronounced late in games: eight of their 25 league goals have come in the final 15 minutes.

Old meetings favour Madrid

The sides’ most recent listed league meeting was in February 2012, when Real Madrid won 4-0. Madrid also won 3-1 at Racing in March 2011, while the teams drew 0-0 in Santander in September 2011.

Several Madrid absences

Racing will be without J. Salinas through suspension after yellow cards, while A. Martin is questionable with a muscle injury.

Real Madrid are missing R. Asencio, Rodrygo and F. Valverde through injury, and Vinicius Junior is suspended following a red card. The absences take several options out of the visitors’ squad, but their recent attacking output remains strong.

The late threat

Madrid’s 25 goals in 10 league matches underline the depth of their attacking form, with nearly a third arriving in the closing 15 minutes. Racing’s record of 17 goals conceded across their last five games makes managing that late pressure a key task.

Our prediction

Racing’s unbeaten home record should help them make a contest of it, but Madrid’s three-match winning streak and greater scoring output give the visitors the edge. The numbers point towards Madrid creating more and edging a game in which Racing can still find a goal.

Racing Santander 1-2 Real Madrid

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