La Liga – Matchday 12: predictions & previews

All 10 matches of La Liga Matchday 12 (6 November – 8 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

La Liga

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Villarreal (59% to win against Getafe).
Closest on paper: Osasuna – Athletic Club (38% vs 34%, draw 28%).
Most goals expected: Atletico Madrid – Barcelona (3.5 expected goals); fewest: Villarreal – Getafe (2.2).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 7 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 25 goals in these 9 matches (2.79 per match).

All matches

Friday 6 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
23:00	SevillaAlaves	–

Saturday 7 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
16:00	MalagaRacing Santander	43%	24%	33%	1276%	61%	63%	12.87.9–4.9	4.92.2–2.7	Stats
18:15	EspanyolDeportivo La Coruna	39%	29%	32%	1271%	41%	48%	9.64.8–4.8	5.12.4–2.7	Stats
20:30	OsasunaAthletic Club	38%	28%	34%	1272%	45%	51%	8.93.7–5.2	4.62.2–2.4	Stats
23:00	ValenciaReal Madrid	22%	25%	53%	X278%	52%	53%	9.74.2–5.5	4.72.2–2.5	Stats

Sunday 8 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	·
16:00	ElcheReal Betis	34%	26%	40%	1274%	55%	59%	8.85.0–3.8	4.52.4–2.1	Stats
18:15	Real SociedadRayo Vallecano	46%	25%	29%	1275%	60%	62%	11.87.2–4.6	5.52.3–3.2	Stats
20:30	Celta VigoLevante	48%	26%	26%	1X74%	51%	54%	7.94.3–3.6	4.22.0–2.2	Stats
20:30	VillarrealGetafe	59%	26%	15%	1X85%	37%	37%	9.45.7–3.7	5.82.2–3.6	Stats
23:00	Atletico MadridBarcelona	29%	23%	48%	1277%	68%	68%	10.85.8–5.0	3.82.1–1.7	Stats

Matches marked – are outside our model window or were played before the archive started; they link once a preview exists.

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