La Liga · Matchday 12 
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction, stats and form
La Liga, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Real Sociedad 46%, the draw 25% and Rayo Vallecano 29%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Real Sociedad46%Draw25%Rayo Vallecano29%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.73 – 1.36
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 71% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 18%Real Sociedad–Rayo Vallecano
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 36% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%2/2 17% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 11.87.2 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 72%
- Expected cards
- 5.52.3 – 3.2 · Over 3.5: 79%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-07%
- 1-27%
- 2-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Real Sociedad
- Power ratings: Real Sociedad -0.04 goals per game (10th of 20 in La Liga), Rayo Vallecano -0.01 (7th).
- Real Sociedad's attack (1.55 goals per game) meets Rayo Vallecano's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
- Rayo Vallecano's attack (1.36) meets Real Sociedad's defence (1.59).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.73 – 1.36 goals: Real Sociedad 46%, draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 29%.
Match facts
Last matches · Real Sociedad
- L Sun 1 Nov A Athletic Club 1-2
- W Sun 25 Oct H Levante 2-1
- W Thu 22 Oct A Lillestrom 6-0
- W Sun 18 Oct A Malaga 5-2
- D Thu 15 Oct A Union St. Gilloise 1-1
- W Sun 11 Oct H Deportivo La Coruna 3-2
Last matches · Rayo Vallecano
- W Sat 31 Oct H Celta Vigo 3-0
- D Tue 27 Oct A Recreativo Huelva 1-1
- L Sat 24 Oct H Elche 0-3
- D Mon 19 Oct A Getafe 1-1
- D Sat 19 Sept A Osasuna 1-1
- W Tue 15 Sept H Espanyol 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Real Sociedad (H) | Rayo Vallecano (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 0 | 19 |
| 11/20 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | -5 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2026Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad
- 2025Real Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.