La Liga · Matchday 12 
Valencia vs Real Madrid: prediction, stats and form
La Liga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Valencia 22%, the draw 25% and Real Madrid 53%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Valencia22%Draw25%Real Madrid53%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.02 – 1.74
- Double chance
- X2 · 78%1X 47% · 12 75%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 30%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 36%Valencia–Real Madrid
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 20% · 2 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 33%X/2 17% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.74.2 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 50%
- Expected cards
- 4.72.2 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 68%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-210%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Real Madrid
- Power ratings: Valencia -0.09 goals per game (12th of 20 in La Liga), Real Madrid +1.07 (2nd).
- Valencia's attack (1.23 goals per game) meets Real Madrid's defence (1.03 conceded per game).
- Real Madrid's attack (2.10) meets Valencia's defence (1.32).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.02 – 1.74 goals: Valencia 22%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 53%.
Match facts
Last matches · Valencia
- W Sun 1 Nov A Elche 1-0
- L Sat 24 Oct H Villarreal 1-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Athletic Club 0-0
- D Sun 11 Oct A Racing Santander 2-2
- L Sun 20 Sept H Real Sociedad 2-3
- W Tue 15 Sept A Alaves 1-0
Last matches · Real Madrid
- W Sun 1 Nov A Racing Santander 3-0
- W Sun 25 Oct A Barcelona 2-1
- W Wed 21 Oct H RB Leipzig 4-1
- W Sun 18 Oct H Sevilla 4-1
- W Wed 14 Oct A AS Roma 4-3
- W Sat 10 Oct H Villarreal 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Valencia | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Valencia (H) | Real Madrid (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/20 | Valencia | 11 | -9 | 9 |
| 3/20 | Real Madrid | 11 | +18 | 27 |
Last meetings
- 2026Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid
- 2025Real Madrid 4-0 Valencia
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.