La Liga · Matchday 12 
Malaga vs Racing Santander: prediction, stats and form
La Liga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Malaga 43%, the draw 24% and Racing Santander 33%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Malaga43%Draw24%Racing Santander33%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.71 – 1.46
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 67% · X2 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 39%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 23% – 18%Malaga–Racing Santander
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 34% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 19% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 12.87.9 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 80%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.2 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 71%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 2-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Malaga
- Power ratings: Malaga -0.62 goals per game (19th of 20 in La Liga), Racing Santander -0.66 (20th).
- Malaga's attack (0.99 goals per game) meets Racing Santander's defence (2.11 conceded per game).
- Racing Santander's attack (1.45) meets Malaga's defence (1.61).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.71 – 1.46 goals: Malaga 43%, draw 24%, Racing Santander 33%.
Match facts
Last matches · Malaga
- L Sat 31 Oct A Real Betis 1-2
- W Tue 27 Oct A Alcazar 3-0
- D Fri 23 Oct A Alaves 1-1
- L Sun 18 Oct H Real Sociedad 2-5
- D Fri 9 Oct H Espanyol 1-1
- L Sun 20 Sept A Getafe 0-1
Last matches · Racing Santander
- L Sun 1 Nov H Real Madrid 0-3
- W Thu 29 Oct A Ribadesella CF 2-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H Espanyol 2-1
- L Sun 18 Oct A Osasuna 0-2
- D Sun 11 Oct H Valencia 2-2
- L Sat 19 Sept A Celta Vigo 0-5
Last 10 matches
| · | Malaga | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Malaga (H) | Racing Santander (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/20 | Malaga | 11 | -13 | 5 |
| 16/20 | Racing Santander | 11 | -14 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026Malaga 1-1 Racing Santander
- 2025Racing Santander 3-0 Malaga
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.