La Liga · Matchday 12 
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: prediction, stats and form
La Liga, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Osasuna 38%, the draw 28% and Athletic Club 34%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Osasuna38%Draw28%Athletic Club34%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.27 – 1.20
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 66% · X2 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 28%Osasuna–Athletic Club
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 29% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 22%2/2 20% · X/X 18%
- Expected corners
- 8.93.7 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.2 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-010%
- 0-19%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Osasuna -0.11 goals per game (13th of 20 in La Liga), Athletic Club +0.14 (6th).
- Osasuna's attack (1.28 goals per game) meets Athletic Club's defence (1.23 conceded per game).
- Athletic Club's attack (1.37) meets Osasuna's defence (1.39).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.27 – 1.20 goals: Osasuna 38%, draw 28%, Athletic Club 34%.
Match facts
Last matches · Osasuna
- W Thu 29 Oct A Atletico Calatayud 6-0
- L Mon 26 Oct A Sevilla 0-2
- W Sun 18 Oct H Racing Santander 2-0
- L Sun 11 Oct A Real Betis 2-5
- D Sat 19 Sept H Rayo Vallecano 1-1
- L Wed 16 Sept A Atletico Madrid 0-4
Last matches · Athletic Club
- W Sun 1 Nov H Real Sociedad 2-1
- W Thu 29 Oct A Prat 6-1
- W Sun 25 Oct H Getafe 4-0
- L Wed 21 Oct A Levante 1-3
- D Sat 17 Oct A Valencia 0-0
- D Sat 19 Sept H Alaves 0-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Osasuna | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Osasuna (H) | Athletic Club (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/20 | Osasuna | 10 | -10 | 11 |
| 7/20 | Athletic Club | 10 | +4 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Athletic Club 1-0 Osasuna
- 2026Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.