La Liga · Matchday 11 
Our pick1–2Correct result
Atletico Madrid’s winning run faces a Levante test
Atletico arrive on five straight league wins and sit second, while Levante are 15th after ten rounds. The hosts’ home scoring gives them a route into the contest, but Atletico’s defensive record is formidable.
📍 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 11 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Atletico Madrid won 2-0 away to Levante. Alejandro Grimaldo opened the scoring in the 36th minute, giving the visitors the lead before half-time. Giuliano Simeone Baldini added a second in the 62nd minute, assisted by Alejandro Baena Rodríguez, to complete the scoring. There were no red cards.
Levante had more attempts, with 20 shots to Atletico Madrid’s 11, but Atletico Madrid registered more shots on target, five to four. Levante also led the expected-goals count, 1.33 to 0.63, while possession was 46% to 54% in Atletico Madrid’s favour. G. Simeone was the top-rated player, with a rating of 7.8. The 0-2 result was a narrower away win than the pre-match model’s 1-2 prediction; it had given Atletico Madrid a 44% win chance, Levante 31%, and a draw 25%.
Goals
- 36'Alejandro Grimaldo · Atletico Madrid
- 62'Giuliano Simeone Baldini · Alejandro Baena Rodríguez · Atletico Madrid
Cards
- 18'Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro · Levante
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: G. Simeone (Atletico Madrid) 7.8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Levante · 4-2-3-1
- 13M. RyanG
- 22J. ToljanD
- 2A. MandiD
- 3Ifeanyi NdukweD
- 29Nacho PérezD
- 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
- 6RequeM
- 7BruguiM
- 9Iván RomeroM
- 24T. FernándezM
- 21Etta EyongF
Coach: Luís Castro
Atletico Madrid · 4-4-2
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 17D. HanckoD
- 22Álex GrimaldoD
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 23M. HjulmandM
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 7Lee Kang-InF
- 19J. ÁlvarezF
Coach: D. Simeone
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 0.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 15 | Levante | 10 | -3 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026Levante0-0Atletico Madrid
- 2025Atletico Madrid3-1Levante
- 2023Levante0-2Atletico Madrid
- 2022Atletico Madrid0-1Levante
- 2021Levante2-2Atletico Madrid
Absences
Levante
- OutE. Bardeli · Muscle Injury
Atletico Madrid
- OutJ. Cardoso · Thigh Injury
- OutKoke · Muscle Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.41 – 1.69
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 56% · X2 69%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 19% – 24%Levante–Atletico Madrid
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 27% · 2 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 26%1/1 18% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.14.0 – 6.1 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 4.51.8 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-17%
- 0-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A gulf in the table
Atletico Madrid travel to Levante on Saturday with a five-point cushion over their hosts after ten rounds of La Liga. Atletico are second on 25 points, while Levante sit 15th with 10. The visitors’ goal difference of +12 underlines the gap: Levante are at -3.
The central question is whether Atletico can extend their winning run to six matches. They have won each of their last five league games, and arrive with a strong chance to reinforce their place near the top. Levante, meanwhile, need points to pull clear of the lower reaches of the table.
Atletico’s momentum
Atletico’s recent run has been built on strength at both ends: they have scored 10 goals and conceded just two across their last five matches. Their season record is equally impressive, with eight wins and one draw from ten games.
Levante’s recent picture is less settled. They have scored nine and conceded 10 in their last five, while their season record stands at two wins, four draws and four defeats. But their home attack offers encouragement: they have scored 13 goals in four home league matches, even as they have conceded 10.
Recent meetings favour Atletico
The latest league meeting at Levante ended 0-0 in January, but Atletico won the previous encounter 3-1. Across the five most recent head-to-heads listed, Atletico have two wins and Levante one, with two draws. That history gives the visitors an edge, though the most recent trip to this ground was tightly contested.
Three absences
Levante will be without E. Bardeli, who is missing through a muscle injury. Atletico are also without J. Cardoso with a thigh injury and Koke with a muscle injury.
Goals at both ends?
Levante’s home scoring record suggests they can trouble Atletico, but the visitors have conceded only eight goals in ten league games and kept three clean sheets at home, plus two away. Atletico have also scored eight of their 20 league goals in the final 15 minutes, a late threat Levante will need to manage.
Our prediction
Levante’s home attack should make this more than a straightforward away assignment, but Atletico’s five-game winning streak and much stronger defensive numbers point to the visitors having the decisive edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours Atletico, with a narrow away win the likeliest outcome.
Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid
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