Premier League – Matchday 9: predictions & previews

All 10 matches of Premier League Matchday 9 (31 October – 2 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

EPL

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: Manchester City (51% to win against Brighton).
Closest on paper: Coventry – Sunderland (37% vs 32%, draw 31%).
Most goals expected: Chelsea – Manchester United (3.3 expected goals); fewest: Liverpool – Arsenal (2.4).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 9 of 10 matches.
The model expects about 28 goals in these 10 matches (2.79 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 9 · most likely result correct: 6 (67%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 4 (44%) · both teams to score correct: 4 (44%)

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
15:30	ChelseaManchester United	42%	26%	32%	1274%	63%	66%	10.15.7–4.4	4.92.4–2.5	2-0✅	Preview
18:00	BournemouthLeeds	48%	26%	26%	1X74%	57%	60%	9.95.7–4.2	3.92.0–1.9	2-0✅	Preview
18:00	BrentfordNottingham Forest	47%	27%	26%	1X74%	56%	59%	9.94.7–5.2	3.61.7–1.9	2-0✅	Preview
18:00	CoventrySunderland	37%	31%	32%	1269%	42%	50%	7.94.4–3.5	3.61.5–2.1	3-1✅	Preview
18:00	Hull CityIpswich	45%	27%	28%	1273%	57%	60%	8.54.4–4.1	3.82.1–1.7	2-2❌	Preview
18:00	Manchester CityBrighton	51%	25%	24%	1X76%	61%	62%	10.56.6–3.9	4.11.6–2.5	0-1❌	Preview
20:30	TottenhamCrystal Palace	39%	30%	31%	1270%	47%	53%	10.16.4–3.7	4.22.0–2.2	2-0✅	Preview
23:00	Aston VillaFulham	42%	29%	29%	1X71%	48%	54%	10.15.4–4.7	4.11.4–2.7	1-1❌	Preview