Premier League · Matchday 9 
Our pick1–0Correct result
Tottenham and Crystal Palace seek a vital edge in tight table battle
Separated by just two points after eight matches, Tottenham and Crystal Palace meet with early-season momentum and defensive solidity both in question. Tottenham have the home advantage, but Palace won the most recent meeting at this stadium.
📍 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Tottenham beat Crystal Palace 2-0. Crystal Palace were reduced to ten men in the 13th minute when Jean-Philippe Mateta was sent off. Tottenham took the lead in the 25th minute through Archie Gray, assisted by Mohammed Kudus. Jan Paul van Hecke added the second in the 73rd minute to seal the result.
The numbers reflected Tottenham’s control: they had 79% possession and 34 shots to Crystal Palace’s two, with nine efforts on target compared with one. Tottenham’s xG was 3.34 against 0.21. J. van Hecke was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.1. The result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s predicted 1-0 Tottenham win, with probabilities of 39% for a home win, 30% for a draw and 31% for an away win.
Goals
- 25'Archie Gray · Mohammed Kudus · Tottenham
- 73'Jan Paul van Hecke · Tottenham
Cards
- 13'Jean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace
- 15'Archie Gray · Tottenham
- 53'Oscar Mingueza · Crystal Palace
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: J. van Hecke (Tottenham) 8.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Tottenham · 4-2-3-1
- 31A. KinskýG
- 14A. GrayD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 37M. van de VenD
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 16S. TonaliM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 20M. KudusM
- 22Omar MarmoushM
- 11M. TelM
- 19D. SolankeF
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Crystal Palace · 3-4-2-1
- 1D. HendersonG
- 26C. RichardsD
- 5A. DisasiD
- 6J. CanvotD
- 30Óscar MinguezaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 11D. McNeilM
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 14J. MatetaF
Coach: P. Sage
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.1 | 2.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2026Tottenham1-3Crystal Palace
- 2025Crystal Palace0-1Tottenham
- 2025Tottenham0-2Crystal Palace
- 2024Crystal Palace1-0Tottenham
- 2024Tottenham3-1Crystal Palace
Absences
Tottenham
- OutT. Adarabioyo · Calf Injury
- OutR. Bentancur · Red Card
- OutL. Bergvall · Knee Injury
- OutM. Mudryk · Ankle Injury
- OutW. Odobert · Knee Injury
- OutX. Simons · Knee Injury
Crystal Palace
- OutC. Riad · Knee Injury
- OutI. Sarr · Groin Injury
- OutT. Tomiyasu · Calf Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Larsen · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulQ. Timber · Hamstring Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.35 – 1.20
- Double chance
- 12 · 70%1X 69% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 26%Tottenham–Crystal Palace
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 30% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%X/X 18% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 10.16.4 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.0 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-09%
- 1-09%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points, one important step
Tottenham and Crystal Palace are separated by just two points in the Premier League, making this London meeting an opportunity for either side to create a little breathing room. Tottenham sit 14th on nine points, while Palace are 17th on seven; both have played eight matches, and neither has found consistency.
Tottenham’s two wins have come alongside three draws and three defeats. Palace have also won twice, but have lost five times and drawn once. The gap is narrow, yet Palace’s goal difference of -10, compared with Tottenham’s -2, underlines the need for a stronger defensive showing from the visitors.
Tottenham arrive with the better recent run
Tottenham’s last five have brought eight goals scored and five conceded. Their season form has turned upward with back-to-back wins after a run of draws and defeats, though their home record stands at one win, one draw and two losses.
Palace have scored five and conceded 11 across their last five, and their season record shows just one away win from four matches. They have scored only three goals on the road and conceded nine. A recent win offers some encouragement, but their defensive numbers leave little margin for error.
Palace have recent north London success
The last five meetings give Palace reason to believe they can upset Tottenham again. They have won three of those encounters, including a 3-1 victory at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in March 2026 and a 2-0 win there in May 2025. Tottenham’s two wins in the sequence include a 1-0 away victory in December 2025.
Absences could shape the contest
Tottenham are without T. Adarabioyo, R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert and X. Simons. Bentancur is suspended, while the other listed absences are injury-related.
Crystal Palace are missing C. Riad, I. Sarr and T. Tomiyasu. J. Larsen and Q. Timber are both questionable, adding uncertainty to the visitors’ options.
Tottenham’s home edge
Tottenham have scored eight times in their last five matches, compared with Palace’s five, and have conceded considerably fewer in that spell. The home side’s overall defensive record is also stronger: 10 goals conceded in eight league games, against Palace’s 19.
Still, Palace’s recent head-to-head record is a warning against treating the standings as the whole story. Their success at this ground gives them a route into the match if they can make their defensive performance more secure.
Our prediction
Tottenham’s home advantage and the sides’ contrasting defensive records point to a narrow home win, although Palace’s recent record in this fixture makes a close contest likely. PreviaXI’s model also leans slightly toward Tottenham, with a low-scoring result the most likely outcome.
Tottenham 1-0 Crystal Palace
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