Premier League · Matchday 9
Hull City
2–2 Full time
Ipswich

Our pick2–1Missed

Hull City’s injury crisis puts depth to the test against Ipswich

Hull City have six players listed out and two more doubtful ahead of Ipswich’s visit. Their home resilience offers encouragement, but the absences could make a tight contest harder to control.

📍 MKM Stadium

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Match report

Hull City and Ipswich shared a 2-2 draw. Ipswich took the lead in the 22nd minute through Florentino Luís, assisted by Abdoul Ouattara. Hull City turned the match around after the break: Tim Iroegbunam equalised in the 58th minute, with Oliver McBurnie providing the assist, then McBurnie put the hosts ahead in the 68th. Julio Enciso levelled for Ipswich in the 74th minute, assisted by Azor Matusiwa. There were no red cards.

Ipswich had more possession, 62% to Hull City’s 38%, and led the total-shots count 15-9, while both sides recorded three shots on target. Hull City had the edge in corners, six to three, but Ipswich’s xG was higher at 1.08 to 0.76. Oliver McBurnie was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.7. The draw differed from the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction for Hull City, which gave the home side a 45% win chance, a draw 27%, and an Ipswich win 28%.

Goals

  • 22'Florentino Luís · Abdoul Ouattara · Ipswich
  • 58'Tim Iroegbunam · Oliver McBurnie · Hull City
  • 68'Oliver McBurnie · Hull City
  • 74'Julio Enciso · Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich

Cards

  • 28'Exequiel Palacios · Ipswich
  • 52'Elliot Stroud · Hull City
  • 60'Matt Crooks · Hull City
  • 81'Julio Enciso · Ipswich
  • 88'Semi Ajayi · Hull City
  • 90+2'Issa Diop · Ipswich

Match stats

Hull CityIpswich
38%Possession62%
9Shots15
3Shots on target3
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.08
6Corners3
13Fouls12
4Offsides3
1Saves1

⭐ Top-rated player: O. McBurnie (Hull City) 8.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Hull City · 5-4-1

  1. 19K. TzolakisG
  2. 2L. CoyleD
  3. 6S. AjayiD
  4. 15J. EganD
  5. 32N. MendyD
  6. 3R. GilesD
  7. 10M. BelloumiM
  8. 42T. IroegbunamM
  9. 27R. SlaterM
  10. 21E. StroudM
  11. 9O. McBurnieF

Coach: S. Jakirović

Ipswich · 4-2-3-1

  1. 28C. WaltonG
  2. 42A. OuattaraD
  3. 6I. DiopD
  4. 26D. O'SheaD
  5. 3L. DavisD
  6. 25E. PalaciosM
  7. 12FlorentinoM
  8. 7A. FatawuM
  9. 10J. EncisoM
  10. 11J. PhilogeneM
  11. 19EmersonnF

Coach: G. O'Neil

Match facts

Recent form

Hull CityDLDLD
IpswichWLWLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Hull City1.11.0
Ipswich1.52.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
10Hull City8+110
12Ipswich8-410

Last meetings

  • 2026Ipswich1-0Hull City
  • 2025Hull City0-2Ipswich
  • 2024Hull City3-3Ipswich
  • 2023Ipswich3-0Hull City
  • 2021Hull City0-1Ipswich

Absences

Hull City

  • OutI. Ansah · Back Injury
  • OutJ. Butland · Arm Injury
  • OutD. Gyabi · Groin Injury
  • OutC. Hughes · Groin Injury
  • OutE. Matazo · Knee Injury
  • OutM. Targett · Ankle Injury
  • DoubtfulL. Gourna-Douath · Calf Injury
  • DoubtfulN. Mendy · Groin Injury

Ipswich

  • OutJ. Taylor · Knee Injury
  • DoubtfulS. Lukic · Groin Injury

PreviaXI model

Hull City45%Draw27%Ipswich28%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals (model)
1.67 – 1.28
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 72% · X2 55%
Over 2.5 goals
57%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 34%
Both teams score
60%
Clean sheet
28% – 19%Hull City–Ipswich
Half-time result
X · 40%1 35% · 2 25%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 27%2/2 16% · X/1 15%
Expected corners
8.44.3 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 34%
Expected cards
3.82.1 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 54%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-113%
  2. 2-19%
  3. 1-07%
  4. 2-07%
  5. 1-27%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow gap, a big squad test

The most recent meeting ended with Ipswich beating Hull City 1-0 on 3 March, a Championship result that adds an edge to Saturday’s Premier League encounter at the MKM Stadium. The teams are level on 10 points after eight matches, with Hull tenth and Ipswich twelfth, so neither starts with much room to let the other pull away.

Hull’s central concern is availability. Six players are listed as missing and two more are doubtful, leaving the hosts with a depleted group as they try to turn home resilience into a result.

Hull’s home steadiness against Ipswich’s attack

Hull have won only twice in eight league games, but they have avoided defeat in all four at home: one win and three draws. They have conceded just three goals there, a record that gives them a platform even as their recent form has produced only one win in five.

Ipswich have scored eight goals across their last five matches, two more than Hull, and have found the net 12 times in eight league games. Their away record is less convincing: one win and three defeats from four trips, with 11 goals conceded. That vulnerability could offer Hull a route into the game, provided the injuries do not disrupt their defensive shape.

Recent meetings favour Ipswich

Ipswich have won three of the last five meetings, including the latest 1-0 result and a 2-0 victory at Hull in November 2025. Hull’s most recent home success in this run was a 3-3 draw in April 2024; they have not beaten Ipswich in these five listed encounters.

Six Hull absences, two doubts

Hull are without I. Ansah (back), J. Butland (arm), D. Gyabi and C. Hughes (both groin), E. Matazo (knee) and M. Targett (ankle). L. Gourna-Douath and N. Mendy are questionable with calf and groin injuries respectively.

Ipswich have J. Taylor missing with a knee injury, while S. Lukic is doubtful with a groin problem. The imbalance in Hull’s list is stark: the home side may have less room to adjust if the match becomes physically demanding or requires changes.

Ipswich’s scoring threat

Ipswich’s recent attacking output makes their front-foot moments worth watching, particularly against a Hull side whose squad is stretched. Hull, however, have been difficult to break down at home, conceding fewer than a goal per match there this season. Their challenge is to preserve that solidity while still creating enough to make home advantage count.

Our prediction

Hull’s home defensive record and Ipswich’s poor away results point to a contest the hosts can edge, despite the scale of their injury problems. PreviaXI’s model leans towards Hull, with their home advantage and stronger defensive base helping outweigh Ipswich’s recent scoring form.

Hull City 2-1 Ipswich

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