0–1 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick0–1Exact score

Arsenal aim to stretch top-four gap at Liverpool

Second-placed Arsenal travel to fourth-placed Liverpool with six points separating the sides. The Gunners’ stronger recent form gives them a chance to widen the gap, while Liverpool can close in with a home win.

📍 Anfield

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:36

All Matchday 9 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Arsenal beat Liverpool 1-0, with Kai Havertz scoring the only goal in the 16th minute after a Declan Rice assist. Liverpool were unable to find an equaliser, and there were no red cards.

The numbers show Liverpool had more possession, 56% to 44%, and attempted 17 shots to Arsenal’s 10. However, Liverpool had no shots on target, while Arsenal recorded three. Liverpool’s xG was 1.23 against Arsenal’s 1.02. K. Havertz was the top-rated player, with a 7.7 rating. The 0-1 result matched the pre-match predicted score; the model gave Arsenal a 43% chance of winning, Liverpool 26%, and a draw 31%.

Goals

16'Kai Havertz · Declan Rice · Arsenal

Cards

45+2'Bradley Barcola · Liverpool
55'Noni Madueke · Arsenal
67'Milos Kerkez · Liverpool
72'Myles Lewis-Skelly · Arsenal
80'Alexis Mac Allister · Liverpool
80'Jurriën Timber · Arsenal
90+7'Virgil van Dijk · Liverpool
90+3'David Raya · Arsenal

Match stats

LiverpoolArsenal

56%Possession44%

17Shots10

0Shots on target3

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.02

7Corners4

18Fouls10

2Offsides3

2Saves0

⭐ Top-rated player: K. Havertz (Arsenal) 7.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Liverpool · 4-2-3-1

1Alisson BeckerG
33R. AraújoD
5J. JacquetD
4V. van DijkD
6M. KerkezD
10A. Mac AllisterM
42T. NyoniM
29B. BarcolaM
7F. WirtzM
18C. GakpoM
9A. IsakF

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Arsenal · 4-2-3-1

1David RayaG
12J. TimberD
15E. KonsaD
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
33R. CalafioriD
41D. RiceM
39Bruno GuimarãesM
20N. MaduekeM
8M. ØdegaardM
17C. TzolisM
29K. HavertzF

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Match facts

Recent form

LiverpoolDWLWW

ArsenalWLWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Liverpool	1.4	1.0
Arsenal	1.6	0.6

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	+8	21
4	Liverpool	8	+3	15

Last meetings

2026Arsenal0-0Liverpool
2025Liverpool1-0Arsenal
2025Liverpool2-2Arsenal
2024Arsenal2-2Liverpool
2024Liverpool2-1Arsenal

Absences

Liverpool

OutC. Bradley · Knee Injury
OutH. Ekitike · Achilles Tendon Injury
OutJ. Frimpong · Muscle Injury
OutG. Leoni · Knee Injury
OutA. Nallo · Leg Injury
DoubtfulV. Munoz · Knee Injury
DoubtfulD. Szoboszlai · Muscle Injury

Arsenal

OutM. Dowman · Red Card
OutB. Saka · Thigh Injury
OutW. Saliba · Back Injury
DoubtfulR. Calafiori · Ribs Injury
DoubtfulN. Madueke · Ankle Injury
DoubtfulC. Tzolis · Hamstring Injury

PreviaXI model

Liverpool26%Draw31%Arsenal43%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 0-1
Expected goals (model): 0.99 – 1.37
Double chance: X2 · 74%1X 57% · 12 69%
Over 2.5 goals: 42%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 21%
Both teams score: 48%
Clean sheet: 26% – 37%Liverpool–Arsenal
Half-time result: X · 46%1 22% · 2 32%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 26%X/X 20% · X/2 16%
Expected corners: 9.14.6 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 43%
Expected cards: 3.61.8 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 50%
Most likely scores: 1-114%
0-111%
0-011%
0-29%
1-29%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Arsenal’s chance to pull clear

Arsenal arrive at Anfield in second place on 21 points, six ahead of fourth-placed Liverpool, who have 15. With both sides having played eight league matches, the points on Sunday offer a direct chance for Arsenal to widen the gap or Liverpool to move closer and stay in touch near the top.

The visitors’ season record is seven wins and one defeat, while Liverpool have four wins, three draws and one loss. The stakes are clear: a Liverpool victory would cut the deficit to three points; an Arsenal win would strengthen their position ahead of a rival in the top four.

Arsenal bring the stronger run

Arsenal have won four of their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding four. Liverpool’s recent five-game record is also positive, with five goals scored and four conceded, though their form measure trails Arsenal’s.

Across the league campaign, Arsenal have scored 13 goals and conceded five. Liverpool have scored 11 and let in eight. The home side have taken only one win from four matches at Anfield, while Arsenal have won three of four away games.

Recent meetings have been tight

The last four Premier League meetings produced three draws and a 1-0 Liverpool win. Their latest league encounter, in January, finished goalless at Arsenal. The previous meeting at Anfield ended 1-0 to Liverpool, while two earlier matches finished 2-2.

Absences on both sides

Liverpool will be without C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni and A. Nallo. V. Munoz and D. Szoboszlai are listed as questionable.

Arsenal are without M. Dowman, B. Saka and W. Saliba. R. Calafiori, N. Madueke and C. Tzolis are questionable.

Goals and defensive records in focus

Arsenal’s 13 goals and five conceded make for the stronger season balance, and their away record has brought three wins from four. Liverpool’s home scoring average is one goal per match, while they have conceded five in four home games.

The recent head-to-head record suggests a close contest, but Arsenal’s points total and broader results give them the stronger platform. Liverpool’s home advantage and past success in this fixture offer a counterweight.

Our prediction

Arsenal’s stronger season record and recent attacking output point to a narrow away edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the visitors, with Liverpool’s home form and the tight recent meetings suggesting a low-scoring game.

Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal

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