Eredivisie – Matchday 11: predictions & previews

All 9 matches of Eredivisie Matchday 11 (31 October – 1 November 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities and predicted score for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

Key numbers

Biggest favourite: PSV Eindhoven (88% to win against Willem II).
Closest on paper: Telstar – Utrecht (36% vs 38%, draw 26%).
Most goals expected: PSV Eindhoven – Willem II (4.9 expected goals); fewest: Excelsior – Twente (2.8).
Both teams to score is more likely than not in 9 of 9 matches.
The model expects about 31 goals in these 9 matches (3.41 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 9 · most likely result correct: 6 (67%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 5 (56%) · both teams to score correct: 3 (33%)

Saturday 31 October

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
18:30	FeyenoordFortuna Sittard	75%	17%	8%	1X92%	69%	55%	12.49.7–2.7	3.41.3–2.1	1-1❌	Preview
20:45	HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen	41%	25%	34%	1275%	66%	68%	9.84.5–5.3	3.11.4–1.7	1-0✅	Preview
20:45	PSV EindhovenWillem II	88%	8%	4%	1X96%	87%	60%	12.28.7–3.5	3.11.2–1.9	7-0✅	Preview
23:00	AjaxAZ Alkmaar	43%	27%	30%	1273%	59%	62%	9.95.1–4.8	3.61.6–2.0	1-0✅	Preview
23:00	CambuurGO Ahead Eagles	44%	24%	32%	1276%	69%	70%	11.15.0–6.1	3.11.2–1.9	4-0✅	Preview

Sunday 1 November

·	Match	1	X	2	DC	O 2.5	BTTS	Corners	Cards	Result	·
14:15	PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag	41%	27%	32%	1273%	57%	61%	9.04.5–4.5	3.01.3–1.7	1-0✅	Preview
16:30	ExcelsiorTwente	21%	26%	53%	X279%	54%	55%	8.83.7–5.1	2.71.3–1.4	0-9✅	Preview
16:30	TelstarUtrecht	36%	26%	38%	1274%	60%	63%	10.15.0–5.1	3.31.2–2.1	4-2❌	Preview
18:45	GroningenSparta Rotterdam	53%	23%	24%	1277%	66%	65%	12.07.7–4.3	3.31.5–1.8	2-3❌	Preview

Doha time