Eredivisie · Matchday 11 
Our pick2–1Correct result
Cambuur and Go Ahead Eagles seek the edge in a tight Eredivisie race
Just two points separate ninth-placed Go Ahead Eagles and 10th-placed Cambuur after 10 matches. Cambuur arrive in better recent form, but the visitors have been difficult to beat across the season.
📍 Kooi Stadion
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Cambuur defeated GO Ahead Eagles 4-0, scoring three times before half-time. Ismaël Baouf opened the scoring in the 7th minute, assisted by Rafik El Arguioui, and Jason Ceka made it 2-0 in the 15th after Devid Eugene Bouah’s assist. Billy van Duijl added a third in the 41st minute, with Ilyes Hamache providing the assist. Rafik El Arguioui completed the scoring in the 80th minute, assisted by Sami Bouhoudane. There were no red cards.
Cambuur had seven shots on target to GO Ahead Eagles’ one and led the total-shot count 15-10. The teams were close in possession, at 51% for Cambuur and 49% for GO Ahead Eagles, while the home side also led xG 1.60 to 0.66. R. El Arguioui was the top-rated player, with a 9.0 rating. The 4-0 result was wider than the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction, which gave Cambuur a 44% win chance, a draw 24%, and a GO Ahead Eagles win 32%.
Goals
- 7'Ismaël Baouf · Rafik El Arguioui · Cambuur
- 15'Jason Ceka · Devid Eugene Bouah · Cambuur
- 41'Billy van Duijl · Ilyes Hamache · Cambuur
- 80'Rafik El Arguioui · Sami Bouhoudane · Cambuur
Cards
- 44'Nicky Souren · Cambuur
- 51'Thibo Baeten · GO Ahead Eagles
- 67'Nicolas Binder · Cambuur
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: R. El Arguioui (Cambuur) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Cambuur · 4-3-3
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 30J. ÇekaF
- 13N. BinderF
- 11I. HamacheF
Coach: J. Plat
GO Ahead Eagles · 4-2-3-1
- 24J. CillessenG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 11O. SivertsenM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 17M. SurayM
- 16V. EdvardsenF
Coach: J. Oosting
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.3 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2023Cambuur4-1GO Ahead Eagles
- 2022GO Ahead Eagles0-0Cambuur
- 2022GO Ahead Eagles3-0Cambuur
- 2021Cambuur5-2GO Ahead Eagles
- 2021GO Ahead Eagles0-0Cambuur
Absences
Cambuur
- OutJ. Amofa · Injury
- OutW. Asselman · Injury
- OutD. Visser · Knee Injury
GO Ahead Eagles
- OutP. Saathof · Knee Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.92 – 1.63
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 68% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 47%
- Both teams score
- 70%
- Clean sheet
- 20% – 15%Cambuur–GO Ahead Eagles
- Half-time result
- 1 · 36%X 36% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%2/2 19% · X/1 13%
- Expected corners
- 11.15.0 – 6.1 · Over 9.5: 67%
- Expected cards
- 3.11.2 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 37%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-27%
- 2-27%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points between them
Ninth-placed Go Ahead Eagles and Cambuur, one place below in 10th, are separated by just two points after 10 Eredivisie matches. That narrow gap sets up a meeting in Leeuwarden with a clear prize: a win would give either side a meaningful advantage over a direct rival in the crowded middle of the table.
Go Ahead have 14 points and a goal difference of zero; Cambuur have 12 and a minus-three difference. The standings suggest a close contest, while their contrasting records make the route to an edge intriguing. Go Ahead are yet to win away from home, whereas Cambuur have already taken two of their three victories on the road.
Cambuur’s momentum meets Go Ahead’s resilience
Cambuur’s latest five matches have brought 13 goals scored and only four conceded. Their recent run has included three wins in the last five league fixtures, and the team’s season form sequence ends with a win. That attacking output gives the hosts a strong platform, though their home record has been less secure: three defeats in five matches at Kooi Stadion.
Go Ahead have drawn three of their last five and lost once in that spell. They have scored nine goals across those five games, but conceded 11, a defensive concern as they travel. Their overall league record remains hard to dismiss: three wins and five draws from 10 matches, with both defeats coming away from home.
Recent meetings favour Cambuur
The last five recorded meetings offer little certainty, but Cambuur have the more emphatic results. They won 4-1 at home in March 2023 and 5-2 in September 2021, while Go Ahead’s biggest victory in that run was a 3-0 home win. The teams also played out two goalless draws.
Absences to account for
Cambuur are without J. Amofa and W. Asselman through injury, while D. Visser is sidelined with a knee injury. Go Ahead Eagles will be missing P. Saathof, also because of a knee injury.
Late goals could matter
Cambuur have scored five of their 19 league goals in the final 15 minutes, their most productive period. Go Ahead have been particularly effective between the 61st and 75th minutes, scoring seven of their 23 goals in that spell. Both sides have also conceded most often late: Cambuur have let in six goals after the 75th minute, while Go Ahead have conceded seven.
Our prediction
Cambuur’s recent scoring form and home advantage give them a narrow edge, even with their uneven record at Kooi Stadion. PreviaXI’s model leans towards the hosts in a match where both sides have shown the capacity to score, and Go Ahead’s away defensive record leaves room for a decisive Cambuur moment.
Cambuur 2-1 GO Ahead Eagles
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