Eredivisie · Matchday 11
Feyenoord
1–1 Full time
Fortuna Sittard

Our pick2–0Missed

Feyenoord’s injury crisis tested by in-form Fortuna Sittard

Feyenoord have scored 19 goals across their last five matches, but six absences threaten to complicate the league leaders’ latest test. Fortuna Sittard arrive sixth and will look to exploit any disruption.

📍 Stadion Feijenoord

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Match report

Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard drew 1-1. Luciano Valente put Feyenoord ahead in the 59th minute, assisted by Anis Hadj Moussa. Fortuna Sittard equalised in the 86th minute through Shiloh 't Zand, with Sven Simons providing the assist. Neither side was shown a red card.

Feyenoord had 69% possession and led 15-11 in total shots, while the hosts also had more shots on target, 6-3, and a higher expected-goals figure, 2.64 to 0.96. L. Valente was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The 1-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s 2-0 prediction, which gave Feyenoord a 75% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Fortuna Sittard an 8% chance.

Goals

  • 59'Luciano Valente · Anis Hadj Moussa · Feyenoord
  • 86'Shiloh 't Zand · Sven Simons · Fortuna Sittard

Cards

  • 75'Syb Van Ottele · Fortuna Sittard

Match stats

FeyenoordFortuna Sittard
69%Possession31%
15Shots11
6Shots on target3
2.64Expected goals (xG)0.96
6Corners1
6Fouls13
5Offsides0
2Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: L. Valente (Feyenoord) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Feyenoord · 4-3-3

  1. 1T. ErnstG
  2. 26G. ReadD
  3. 4T. WatanabeD
  4. 35Mika MàrmolD
  5. 16Javi LópezD
  6. 8G. ZechiëlM
  7. 34C. VanhoutteM
  8. 28O. TarghallineM
  9. 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
  10. 19Nacho FerriF
  11. 10L. ValenteF

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Fortuna Sittard · 3-4-2-1

  1. 31M. BranderhorstG
  2. 3Rodrigo GuthD
  3. 6S. van OtteleD
  4. 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
  5. 12Ivo PintoM
  6. 23P. BrittijnM
  7. 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
  8. 8J. DahlhausM
  9. 52M. IhattarenM
  10. 9A. DescotteM
  11. 25L. ZeefuikF

Coach: D. Buijs

Match facts

Recent form

FeyenoordWWWWD
Fortuna SittardLWDDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Feyenoord3.21.1
Fortuna Sittard1.71.7

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
1Feyenoord10+2124
6Fortuna Sittard10018

Last meetings

  • 2026Fortuna Sittard1-2Feyenoord
  • 2025Feyenoord2-0Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025Fortuna Sittard0-2Feyenoord
  • 2024Feyenoord1-1Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024Fortuna Sittard0-1Feyenoord

Absences

Feyenoord

  • OutT. Beelen · Broken Leg
  • OutJ. Bos · Knee Injury
  • OutR. Nelson · Muscle Injury
  • OutB. Nieuwkoop · Knee Injury
  • OutG. Smal · Ankle Injury
  • OutS. van Persie · Knock

Fortuna Sittard

  • OutR. Bayram · Knee Injury

PreviaXI model

Feyenoord75%Draw17%Fortuna Sittard8%

Model confidence: Strong

Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals (model)
2.69 – 0.88
Double chance
1X · 92%12 83% · X2 25%
Over 2.5 goals
69%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 48%
Both teams score
55%
Clean sheet
42% – 7%Feyenoord–Fortuna Sittard
Half-time result
1 · 57%X 31% · 2 12%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 52%X/1 19% · X/X 9%
Expected corners
12.49.7 – 2.7 · Over 9.5: 79%
Expected cards
3.41.3 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 43%
Most likely scores
  1. 2-010%
  2. 3-09%
  3. 2-19%
  4. 3-18%
  5. 1-18%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A first-place test under pressure

Feyenoord have scored 19 goals in their last five matches, an extraordinary burst that underlines why they lead the Eredivisie after 10 rounds. They have 24 points and a goal difference of +21, while sixth-placed Fortuna Sittard have 18 points and a level goal difference. The gap is meaningful, but Fortuna’s position makes this more than a routine assignment for the leaders.

The central question is whether Feyenoord can keep that attacking rhythm while managing a substantial list of absences. Their form and home advantage are strong, yet the injury crisis puts extra weight on squad depth against a side capable of scoring away from home.

Feyenoord’s scoring surge

Feyenoord are unbeaten in the league, with seven wins and three draws from 10 matches. Their last five have brought 19 goals and only four conceded. At home they have scored 11 goals in four games, while Fortuna have scored 11 in five away matches this season.

Fortuna’s recent return is less imposing: six goals scored and eight conceded across their last five. Still, they have won three of five away league games and have shown they can be productive on the road.

A one-sided recent record

Feyenoord have avoided defeat in all five recorded meetings, winning four and drawing one. The most recent ended 2-1 away to Fortuna in May; the previous meeting in Rotterdam finished 2-0 to Feyenoord.

Six Feyenoord absences

The scale of the home side’s injury list is the defining team-news story. T. Beelen is out with a broken leg, while J. Bos and B. Nieuwkoop have knee injuries. R. Nelson is sidelined by a muscle injury, G. Smal by an ankle injury and S. van Persie by a knock.

Fortuna also have an absence: R. Bayram is missing with a knee injury. Feyenoord’s six unavailable players leave them with more disruption to navigate, even as their results and scoring numbers remain compelling.

Attack against Fortuna’s late concessions

Feyenoord’s 32 league goals are the most striking attacking figure in this matchup, and the side have scored at least once in every league fixture so far. Fortuna have conceded 17 times in 10 games, including five goals in the final 15 minutes. That late vulnerability could become important if the visitors are still defending deep as the match wears on.

Our prediction

Feyenoord’s injuries may limit their options, but their league-leading attack, unbeaten record and home scoring form still point to a controlled victory. PreviaXI’s model favours the hosts, with Fortuna’s recent defensive record and the historical head-to-head also supporting a home win.

Feyenoord 2-0 Fortuna Sittard

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