Eredivisie · Matchday 11 
Our pick3–0Correct result
Willem II under pressure as PSV offer no easy escape
Willem II arrive in Eindhoven bottom of the Eredivisie after five straight defeats, with their defensive troubles growing. PSV’s strong home record gives the visitors a daunting test.
📍 Philips Stadion
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 11 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
PSV Eindhoven beat Willem II 7-0. Mauro Júnior opened the scoring in the 20th minute, and Guus Til made it 2-0 in the 44th, assisted by Armando Obispo. PSV added three goals soon after the break: Sven Mijnans scored in the 50th minute with a Sergiño Dest assist, then Ruben van Bommel followed three minutes later, assisted by Mijnans. Ricardo Pepi extended the lead in the 73rd minute, set up by Esmir Bajraktarević. Pepi assisted Kodai Sano four minutes later, and Shuryjano Cornecion completed the scoring in the 81st minute.
The statistics reflected PSV’s control: they had 70% possession, led total shots 20-4 and shots on target 9-1. Mijnans was the top-rated player, with a 9.0 rating. The result was more emphatic than the pre-match model’s 3-0 prediction, which gave PSV an 88% chance of winning, an 8% chance of a draw and Willem II a 4% chance of victory.
Goals
- 20'Mauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven
- 44'Guus Til · Armando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven
- 50'Sven Mijnans · Sergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven
- 53'Ruben van Bommel · Sven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven
- 73'Ricardo Pepi · Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven
- 77'Kodai Sano · Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven
- 81'Shuryjano Cornecion · PSV Eindhoven
Cards
- 41'Maxim Dekker · Willem II
- 75'Finn Stam · Willem II
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
PSV Eindhoven · 3-4-2-1
- 32M. KovářG
- 2L. GeertruidaD
- 4A. ObispoD
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 8S. DestM
- 24K. SanoM
- 17Mauro JúniorM
- 20G. TilM
- 7R. van BommelM
- 21S. MijnansM
- 5I. PerišićF
Coach: P. Bosz
Willem II · 4-4-1-1
- 26M. DelangheG
- 3F. StamD
- 83M. LemmensD
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 5H. ter AvestM
- 6C. TwigtM
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 9D. HaenF
Coach: A. Koster
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Willem II | 1.0 | 3.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | +15 | 20 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | -22 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2025PSV Eindhoven1-1Willem II
- 2024Willem II0-2PSV Eindhoven
- 2022PSV Eindhoven4-2Willem II
- 2021Willem II2-1PSV Eindhoven
- 2021Willem II0-2PSV Eindhoven
Absences
PSV Eindhoven
- OutA. Nagalo · Injury
- OutA. Plea · Surgery
- OutJ. Schouten · Knee Injury
- OutP. Wanner · Foot Injury
- DoubtfulS. Lammers · Lacking Match Fitness
- DoubtfulR. Pepi · Injury
Willem II
- OutJ. Hoogma · Knee Injury
- OutA. Lachkar · Groin Injury
- OutJ. Slory · Red Card
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 3-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 3.97 – 0.93
- Double chance
- 1X · 96%12 92% · X2 12%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 87%Over 1.5: 96% · Over 3.5: 72%
- Both teams score
- 60%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 2%PSV Eindhoven–Willem II
- Half-time result
- 1 · 71%X 21% · 2 8%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 68%X/1 16% · X/X 4%
- Expected corners
- 12.28.7 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 78%
- Expected cards
- 3.11.2 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 36%
- Most likely scores
- 3-08%
- 4-08%
- 3-17%
- 4-17%
- 5-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Relegation pressure builds
Willem II travel to Eindhoven on Saturday with their difficult start turning into an urgent fight for points. They sit 18th in the Eredivisie with only two points from 10 matches, and a goal difference of minus 22. Five consecutive defeats have left them searching for a response at a particularly challenging venue.
PSV are third on 20 points, 18 ahead of Willem II, and have won three of their five home league games without losing any. The hosts have scored 14 times at home this season, while Willem II have conceded 16 goals in five away matches.
Two very different runs
PSV have scored 10 goals across their last five matches, though they have also conceded seven. Their season form has had some uneven patches, but their record at Philips Stadion remains a clear strength.
Willem II’s recent run is much more troubling: five defeats in five, with 18 goals conceded and five scored. They have shipped 32 goals in 10 league games overall and are still without a win. Their late scoring offers a small route to hope — five of their 10 league goals have come in the 76th minute or later — but they need to keep the match within reach first.
Recent meetings favour PSV
PSV have won three of the last five Eredivisie meetings, including a 2-0 away victory in September 2024. The most recent encounter, in February 2025, ended 1-1, while Willem II’s only win in that five-match sequence was a 2-1 home result in September 2021.
Absences on both sides
PSV will be without A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten and P. Wanner, while S. Lammers and R. Pepi are listed as questionable. Willem II are missing J. Hoogma and A. Lachkar through injury, with J. Slory suspended.
The defensive test
Willem II’s immediate challenge is to resist PSV’s strong home attack: the Eindhoven side are averaging 2.8 goals per home league match. With 16 goals conceded in five away games, the visitors will need a far more solid defensive display to take anything from the match.
Our prediction
PSV’s home scoring and Willem II’s run of defeats point towards a comfortable home victory. PreviaXI’s model favours PSV, and the visitors’ defensive record makes it difficult to see them containing the hosts for 90 minutes.
PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Willem II
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