Eredivisie · Matchday 11
Telstar
4–2 Full time
Utrecht

Our pick1–2Missed

Utrecht’s injury crisis faces a Telstar side desperate for points

Utrecht arrive with five players ruled out and goalkeeper Vasilis Barkas listed as questionable. Telstar’s home struggles offer the visitors an opening, but their own defensive record suggests this may be an unsettled contest.

📍 Sportpark Schoonenberg

Preview written:

Match report

Telstar beat Utrecht 4-2 after taking control early. Tyrone Owusu opened the scoring in the eighth minute, then Abdelnour Soualhia made it 2-0 in the 25th, assisted by Ar'jany Martha. Utrecht pulled one back through Ángel Alarcón in the 42nd minute, with Marius Broholm providing the assist, but Telstar restored their two-goal lead two minutes later as Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson scored from Owusu’s pass. Yoann Cathline made it 3-2 in the 46th minute, assisted by Joris van Overeem, before Ar'jany Martha completed Telstar’s scoring in the 59th, set up by Þórisson. There were no red cards.

Utrecht had more possession, with 65% to Telstar’s 35%, and won nine corners to three. Telstar registered seven shots on target to Utrecht’s five, while their xG was 2.49 against 1.31. Telstar’s T. Owusu was the top-rated player, with a 9.0 rating. The 4-2 result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-2 prediction, which gave Utrecht a 38% chance of winning, Telstar 35%, and a draw 27%.

Goals

  • 8'Tyrone Owusu · Telstar
  • 25'Abdelnour Soualhia · Ar'jany Martha · Telstar
  • 42'Ángel Alarcón · Marius Broholm · Utrecht
  • 44'Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson · Tyrone Owusu · Telstar
  • 46'Yoann Cathline · Joris van Overeem · Utrecht
  • 59'Ar'jany Martha · Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson · Telstar

Cards

  • 71'Dani De Wit · Utrecht
  • 73'Per Kloosterboer · Utrecht

Match stats

TelstarUtrecht
35%Possession65%
16Shots15
7Shots on target5
2.49Expected goals (xG)1.31
3Corners9
10Fouls20
4Offsides2
3Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: T. Owusu (Telstar) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Telstar · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1R. KoemanG
  2. 18G. CaschiliD
  3. 16S. ValkD
  4. 4A. SoualhiaD
  5. 43M. PeersmanD
  6. 6Isaiah AhmedM
  7. 17N. RossenM
  8. 42A. MarthaM
  9. 10T. OwusuM
  10. 8E. DemircanM
  11. 11N. ÞórissonF

Coach: H. Brugge

Utrecht · 4-2-3-1

  1. 22S. PadtG
  2. 2S. HoremansD
  3. 3M. DiddenD
  4. 5N. PanagiotouD
  5. 92A. ZagréD
  6. 8J. van OvereemM
  7. 38O. AgougilM
  8. 23N. VesterlundM
  9. 80M. BroholmM
  10. 10Y. CathlineM
  11. 20D. de WitF

Coach: A. Correia

Match facts

Recent form

TelstarDLDLL
UtrechtWLWWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Telstar1.22.1
Utrecht1.72.7

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
11Utrecht10-1012
16Telstar10-96

Last meetings

  • 2026Utrecht4-1Telstar
  • 2025Telstar1-1Utrecht

Absences

Telstar

No reported absences

Utrecht

  • OutA. Engwanda · Hamstring Injury
  • OutV. Jensen · Knee Injury
  • OutM. Jonathans · Knee Injury
  • OutN. Ohio · Knee Injury
  • OutK. Paredes · Knee Injury
  • DoubtfulV. Barkas · Inactive

PreviaXI model

Telstar35%Draw27%Utrecht38%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals (model)
1.51 – 1.58
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 62% · X2 65%
Over 2.5 goals
60%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 37%
Both teams score
63%
Clean sheet
21% – 22%Telstar–Utrecht
Half-time result
X · 39%1 29% · 2 32%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 23%1/1 21% · X/X 15%
Expected corners
10.15.0 – 5.1 · Over 9.5: 55%
Expected cards
3.31.2 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 42%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-112%
  2. 1-29%
  3. 2-18%
  4. 2-26%
  5. 0-06%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A meeting with pressure on both sides

Utrecht beat Telstar 4-1 in April, but the sides’ previous league meeting ended 1-1 at Telstar in November 2025. Their latest encounter is a reminder of Utrecht’s attacking threat; this time, however, the visitors travel with a sizeable injury list.

The stakes are clear in the Eredivisie table. Utrecht sit 11th with 12 points after 10 matches, while Telstar are 16th on six. With both clubs having played 10 games in the 18-team league, Telstar need points to climb away from the lower reaches, and Utrecht have room to strengthen their position.

Telstar’s home weakness, Utrecht’s recent lift

Telstar have won only once this season and are still without a home victory: two draws and three defeats in five matches at Sportpark Schoonenberg. They have conceded 15 goals at home, a vulnerability Utrecht will look to exploit.

Utrecht’s overall record is stronger, with three wins from 10, and they have taken two victories in their last five matches. But their away defence has been particularly porous, conceding 12 goals in five road games. The visitors’ momentum is real, though it has not brought defensive security.

A familiar recent matchup

The 4-1 result in Utrecht’s favour last April is the clearest recent indication of the gap the visitors can create in attack. The 1-1 draw in the earlier meeting also shows Telstar can make this fixture more competitive, especially on home ground.

Five Utrecht absences shape the test

Utrecht will be without A. Engwanda, who has a hamstring injury, and V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio and K. Paredes, all listed with knee injuries. Goalkeeper V. Barkas is questionable, adding another uncertainty to a depleted squad.

That collection of absences could limit Utrecht’s options and make it harder to manage the match if Telstar press their advantage at home. Yet Telstar’s record of 21 goals conceded in 10 league matches gives the visitors reason to believe they can still find openings.

Utrecht’s attack holds the key

Utrecht have scored 17 goals in 10 matches, compared with Telstar’s 12, and their attack has produced eight goals across the last five games. Telstar have scored seven in that span, but their home scoring average of 1.6 per match gives them a route into the contest.

Our prediction

Utrecht’s injury crisis should make this tighter than the April meeting, but Telstar’s home defensive record and Utrecht’s greater scoring output point towards a narrow away win. PreviaXI’s model also favours Utrecht, with both teams finding the net.

Telstar 1-2 Utrecht

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