Süper Lig · Matchday 9 Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: Can the visitors keep their winning run going?
Trabzonspor travel to Rize on a run of four wins in their last five Süper Lig matches. Rizespor have yet to win at home this season, so the hosts face a stern test on Monday.
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Trabzonspor | 2.3 | 0.6 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.39 – 1.46
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 63% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 23% – 25%Rizespor–Trabzonspor
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 29% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 20% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.35.1 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 44%
- Expected cards
- 4.12.4 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-07%
- 0-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Rizespor -0.05 goals per game (9th of 18 in Süper Lig), Trabzonspor +0.40 (5th).
- Rizespor's attack (1.32 goals per game) meets Trabzonspor's defence (1.25 conceded per game).
- Trabzonspor's attack (1.65) meets Rizespor's defence (1.37).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.39 – 1.46 goals: Rizespor 35%, draw 28%, Trabzonspor 37%.
Absences
Rizespor
- OutK. Alikulov · Knee Injury
Trabzonspor
- OutA. Batagov · Knee Injury
- OutO. Cevikkan · Tendon Injury
- OutR. Malinovskyi · Knee Injury
- OutP. Onuachu · Muscle Injury
- OutO. Yokuslu · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulS. Savic · Inactive
- DoubtfulN. Saviolo · Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Rizespor
- A. Sowe2 goals in 8 games22%
- Q. Laçi2 goals in 8 games22%
- E. Bulut2 goals in 8 games17%
Trabzonspor
- Mohamed Salah10 goals in 10 games36%
- Franculino Djú5 goals in 7 games24%
- E. Muçi2 goals in 8 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Trabzonspor have won their last 5 matches.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of Trabzonspor’s last 8 matches.
- Trabzonspor are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings with Rizespor.
Season stats
| · | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-4 | 0-0-3 | 5-1-2 | 1-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.38 | 2.00 | 0.62 | 1.00 |
| xG per game | 1.38 | 1.55 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| xG against per game | 1.21 | 1.12 | 1.54 | 1.80 |
| Scored in | 62% | 0% | 88% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 100% | 12% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 0% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 67% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 15.9 | 22.7 | 13.9 | 12.2 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.9 | 6.0 | 6.9 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target | 31% | 26% | 50% | 45% |
| Possession | 54% | 58% | 53% | 59% |
| Passes per game | 445.8 | 491.3 | 441.2 | 496.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 84% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 5.0 | 6.7 | 5.4 | 6.8 |
| Corners against per game | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Cards per game | 1.9 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Fouls per game | 10.5 | 8.3 | 10.6 | 8.5 |
League matches this season (Süper Lig). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Rizespor
- 0-151 / 2
- 16-301 / 0
- 31-452 / 2
- 46-600 / 0
- 61-752 / 1
- 76-90+4 / 4
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Trabzonspor
- 0-155 / 1
- 16-303 / 1
- 31-455 / 1
- 46-602 / 1
- 61-751 / 0
- 76-90+2 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Göztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
Rizespor
- Sat 31 OctKocaelispor – RizesporSüper Lig
- Sun 8 NovRizespor – Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig
- Sat 21 NovAmed – RizesporSüper Lig
Trabzonspor
- Sun 1 NovTrabzonspor – Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- Thu 5 NovTrabzonspor – SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League
- Sun 8 NovAlanyaspor – TrabzonsporSüper Lig
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Rizespor 4 wins · 1 draws · Trabzonspor 5 wins
- 14/03/2026Trabzonspor1-0RizesporSüper Lig
- 18/10/2025Rizespor1-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 13/04/2025Trabzonspor2-0RizesporSüper Lig
- 26/02/2025Trabzonspor5-2RizesporTürkiye Kupası
- 09/11/2024Rizespor3-1TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 25/01/2024Rizespor1-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 26/08/2023Trabzonspor2-3RizesporSüper Lig
- 18/03/2022Rizespor3-2TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- 29/10/2021Trabzonspor2-1RizesporSüper Lig
- 10/04/2021Rizespor0-0TrabzonsporSüper Lig
The last time these sides met, in March, Trabzonspor won 1-0 at home, and that result fits a pattern of recent meetings that have leaned towards the visitors. Their trip to Rize on Monday asks whether that momentum can continue.
A chance to extend the momentum
Trabzonspor are fourth in the 18-team Süper Lig with 16 points from eight matches and a goal difference of +13. Their form reads WWWLW, and only a single defeat has interrupted their recent surge.
Rizespor sit 12th with 10 points and a goal difference of -3. They have lost their last two league games and need points to steer clear of the lower reaches of the table.
Away punch against a home-shy side
Trabzonspor’s away record this season is mixed, with one win, one draw and two defeats from four trips. Their attack, however, has been the story of their recent run. They have scored 14 times in their last five matches and conceded just once.
Rizespor have struggled in front of their own supporters. They have played three home league games this season without a win, and they have not yet scored at home. Across their last five matches, they have conceded eight times.
Trabzonspor’s grip on the rivalry
Trabzonspor have had the upper hand in recent meetings. In the last five encounters, including a Türkiye Kupası tie, they have won four, with Rizespor’s only victory coming in November 2024 by 3-1. Trabzonspor’s wins include a 2-0 league success in April 2025 and a 5-2 cup triumph in February 2025.
Injury problems on both sides
Rizespor are without K. Alikulov, who is out with a knee injury.
Trabzonspor face a longer list of absences. A. Batagov and R. Malinovskyi are sidelined with knee injuries, O. Cevikkan has a tendon problem, P. Onuachu is out with a muscle injury, and O. Yokuslu is also missing with a knee issue. S. Savic and N. Saviolo are doubtful, with Savic currently inactive and Saviolo carrying an injury.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model narrowly favours the visitors, and the football reasoning supports that. Trabzonspor’s attack has been producing goals consistently, while Rizespor have struggled to score at home, so the visitors are the more likely side to find the net. Expect a tight, open contest in which Trabzonspor’s recent goal-scoring form should be enough to keep their run alive, although Rizespor have shown enough resilience to make it competitive.
Rizespor 1-2 Trabzonspor
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