Süper Lig · Matchday 9 Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe: Süper Lig's top-four rivals collide in Istanbul
Galatasaray have won four of their last five league games and sit second, while Fenerbahçe, third, have scored freely. Their Monday meeting at Rams Park could shape the race at the top of the Süper Lig.
📍 Rams Park
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.8 | 0.8 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.83 – 1.40
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 71% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 41%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 16%Galatasaray–Fenerbahçe
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 37% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%2/2 17% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.05.6 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.4 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 67%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-27%
- 2-07%
- 2-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Galatasaray
- Power ratings: Galatasaray +0.94 goals per game (1st of 18 in Süper Lig), Fenerbahçe +0.93 (2nd).
- Galatasaray's attack (2.03 goals per game) meets Fenerbahçe's defence (1.07 conceded per game).
- Fenerbahçe's attack (2.00) meets Galatasaray's defence (1.09).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.83 – 1.40 goals: Galatasaray 46%, draw 25%, Fenerbahçe 29%.
Absences
Galatasaray
- DoubtfulR. Leao · Injury
Fenerbahçe
- OutM. Asensio · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Oosterwolde · Achilles Tendon Injury
- DoubtfulN. Ake · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulM. Muldur · Knee Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Galatasaray
- V. Osimhen7 goals in 8 games45%
- A. Bardakcı2 goals in 9 games15%
- A. Batrakov2 goals in 9 games14%
Fenerbahçe
- Talisca5 goals in 7 games30%
- V. Muriqi8 goals in 14 games27%
- M. Greenwood7 goals in 17 games22%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- 6 of Galatasaray’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 6 of Fenerbahçe’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Season stats
| · | Galatasaray | Fenerbahçe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-1 | 3-1-0 | 5-1-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.12 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.38 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| xG per game | 2.33 | 2.64 | 2.34 | 1.69 |
| xG against per game | 1.12 | 0.64 | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Scored in | 88% | 100% | 88% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 25% | 62% | 75% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 12% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 25% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 22.4 | 31.2 | 18.4 | 17.5 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.6 | 11.0 | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| Shots on target | 34% | 35% | 39% | 39% |
| Possession | 60% | 64% | 56% | 58% |
| Passes per game | 479.2 | 476.8 | 492.9 | 526.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 87% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 7.5 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 7.2 |
| Corners against per game | 3.1 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Cards per game | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Fouls per game | 12.0 | 10.2 | 12.6 | 10.5 |
League matches this season (Süper Lig). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Galatasaray
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-302 / 1
- 31-453 / 2
- 46-602 / 1
- 61-753 / 4
- 76-90+6 / 2
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
- 0-156 / 1
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-454 / 2
- 46-604 / 1
- 61-751 / 1
- 76-90+4 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Göztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
Galatasaray
- Fri 30 OctKonyaspor – GalatasaraySüper Lig
- Tue 3 NovGalatasaray – VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
- Sat 7 NovGalatasaray – AmedSüper Lig
Fenerbahçe
- Sat 31 OctFenerbahçe – GöztepeSüper Lig
- Wed 4 NovFenerbahçe – LiverpoolUEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 NovÇorum FK – FenerbahçeSüper Lig
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Galatasaray 5 wins · 3 draws · Fenerbahçe 2 wins
- 26/04/2026Galatasaray3-0FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 10/01/2026Galatasaray0-2FenerbahçeSuper Cup
- 01/12/2025Fenerbahçe1-1GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 02/04/2025Fenerbahçe1-2GalatasarayTürkiye Kupası
- 24/02/2025Galatasaray0-0FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 21/09/2024Fenerbahçe1-3GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 19/05/2024Galatasaray0-1FenerbahçeSüper Lig
- 07/04/2024Galatasaray1-0FenerbahçeSuper Cup
- 24/12/2023Fenerbahçe0-0GalatasaraySüper Lig
- 04/06/2023Galatasaray3-0FenerbahçeSüper Lig
Galatasaray have won four of their last five league matches, a run that has lifted them to second in the Süper Lig on 19 points. They have scored eight goals in that spell and conceded seven, so the defence has been less steady than the attack. Their recent 3-0 win over this same opponent in April is still fresh, and they will host Fenerbahçe at Rams Park on Monday with that memory in mind.
Two top-four sides with the table at stake
Fenerbahçe are third on 16 points, one behind Galatasaray in the standings but with the better goal difference, +16 against +6. Their attacking form is the headline. They have scored 15 goals in their last five matches and conceded only twice. With 18 teams in the league and both clubs in the top four, a result here would carry real weight in the chase for the upper places.
Head-to-head: a rivalry with little between the sides
The last five meetings have been finely balanced. Galatasaray won 3-0 in the league in April and 2-1 in the Turkish Cup final tie in April 2025, while Fenerbahçe claimed the Super Cup 2-0 in January. The two sides also drew 1-1 in the league in December and 0-0 in February 2025.
Team news: Leao doubt and Fenerbahçe’s injury list
Galatasaray must monitor R. Leao, who is a doubt with an injury. Fenerbahçe face a heavier list. M. Asensio (knee) and J. Oosterwolde (Achilles tendon) are both ruled out, while N. Ake (muscle) and M. Muldur (knee) are doubtful.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Galatasaray, who have the home advantage and are expected to create the more dangerous chances. Fenerbahçe’s defensive form and goalscoring run make this a game that could be open and hard-fought, and the absences on their side may limit their options. We expect a tight contest in which the hosts edge a close one.
Galatasaray 2-1 Fenerbahçe
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