Süper Lig · Matchday 9 Beşiktaş's Home Strength Meets Başakşehir's Travelling Problems
Beşiktaş have been formidable at Tüpraş Stadium, while Başakşehir have struggled badly on the road. That contrast shapes this Süper Lig clash on Monday.
📍 Tupras Stadium
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 1.5 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.99 – 1.20
- Double chance
- 1X · 78%12 76% · X2 46%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 39%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 14%Beşiktaş–Başakşehir
- Half-time result
- 1 · 42%X 37% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 16% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 10.66.6 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 60%
- Expected cards
- 5.22.1 – 3.1 · Over 3.5: 70%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 2-08%
- 1-07%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Beşiktaş
- Power ratings: Beşiktaş +0.64 goals per game (4th of 18 in Süper Lig), Başakşehir +0.29 (6th).
- Beşiktaş's attack (1.80 goals per game) meets Başakşehir's defence (1.31 conceded per game).
- Başakşehir's attack (1.60) meets Beşiktaş's defence (1.16).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.99 – 1.20 goals: Beşiktaş 54%, draw 24%, Başakşehir 22%.
Absences
Beşiktaş
- OutO. Kokcu · Foot Injury
- OutM. Rashica · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulF. Miretti · Injury
Başakşehir
- DoubtfulC. Operi · Inactive
- DoubtfulJ. Opoku · Inactive
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Beşiktaş
- D. Vlahović6 goals in 10 games31%
- A. Murillo3 goals in 16 games12%
- V. Černý3 goals in 16 games11%
Başakşehir
- E. Shomurodov7 goals in 10 games41%
- C. Operi1 goals in 6 games10%
- A. Skov Olsen1 goals in 8 games8%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Beşiktaş are unbeaten in their last 9 home matches.
- 7 of Beşiktaş’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Beşiktaş’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | Beşiktaş | Başakşehir | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-3 | 4-0-0 | 3-2-3 | 0-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| xG per game | 1.82 | 2.19 | 1.59 | 1.10 |
| xG against per game | 1.00 | 0.73 | 1.64 | 2.31 |
| Scored in | 75% | 100% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% | 38% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | 25% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 75% | 62% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 25% | 38% | 33% |
| Shots per game | 17.8 | 18.5 | 12.4 | 8.7 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.4 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| Shots on target | 36% | 32% | 32% | 20% |
| Possession | 62% | 62% | 52% | 49% |
| Passes per game | 518.5 | 525.5 | 463.5 | 411.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 84% | 81% |
| Corners per game | 7.5 | 7.5 | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Corners against per game | 3.8 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Cards per game | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Fouls per game | 13.8 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 12.7 |
League matches this season (Süper Lig). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Beşiktaş
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-304 / 4
- 31-453 / 0
- 46-602 / 2
- 61-753 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 2
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Başakşehir
- 0-153 / 1
- 16-302 / 1
- 31-452 / 0
- 46-601 / 3
- 61-753 / 3
- 76-90+1 / 4
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Başakşehir | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Göztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 |
Next matches
Beşiktaş
- Sun 1 NovKasımpaşa – BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- Thu 5 NovCeltic – BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovBeşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
Başakşehir
- Sun 1 NovBaşakşehir – SamsunsporSüper Lig
- Sat 7 NovGöztepe – BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- Mon 23 NovBaşakşehir – Çorum FKSüper Lig
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Beşiktaş 4 wins · 3 draws · Başakşehir 3 wins
- 15/02/2026Başakşehir2-3BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 13/09/2025Beşiktaş2-1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 12/04/2025Beşiktaş0-2BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 10/11/2024Başakşehir0-0BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 04/04/2024Başakşehir1-1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 12/11/2023Beşiktaş1-0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 12/03/2023Başakşehir0-2BeşiktaşSüper Lig
- 12/09/2022Beşiktaş0-1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 07/03/2022Beşiktaş2-2BaşakşehirSüper Lig
- 15/10/2021Başakşehir3-2BeşiktaşSüper Lig
Beşiktaş’s 3-2 win at Başakşehir in February is the most recent meeting between these sides, and it sets up a Monday night in Istanbul that pits one of the league’s strongest home records against one of its least productive away sides.
Two teams, two different trajectories
Beşiktaş sit sixth in the 18-team table with 15 points from eight matches and a goal difference of +6. Başakşehir are 11th on 11 points, with a goal difference of zero. Neither side is chasing the title, but Beşiktaş can move closer to the top half with a win, while Başakşehir need points to close the gap on the teams above them.
Form: a home fortress against a travelling problem
Beşiktaş have been excellent at Tüpraş Stadium this season. They have won all four home league games, scoring 12 goals and conceding only three, averaging three goals per match in front of their own crowd. Away from home the picture changes: one win in four trips, three defeats, and seven goals conceded.
Başakşehir mirror that split in reverse. They have scored 11 times in five home matches, winning three, but on the road they have managed just one goal in three games, with no wins and two defeats. They have also conceded seven away from home. Their recent league form reads WDWLL, with two defeats in their last two outings.
The match therefore pits Beşiktaş’s attacking comfort on home soil against Başakşehir’s struggle to score away, a contrast that will shape how the game unfolds.
The recent history
The last five meetings show a fine balance. Beşiktaş have won twice, including a 2-1 home win in September 2025, while Başakşehir took the 2025 reverse fixture 2-0 in April. The other two results were draws, 0-0 in November 2024 and 1-1 in April 2024. February’s 3-2 victory in Başakşehir’s ground suggests Beşiktaş have recently found a way to win in that fixture.
Team news
Beşiktaş will be without Okay Kokcu, who is out with a foot injury, and Mario Rashica, sidelined by a muscle problem. Filip Miretti is listed as doubtful with an injury. Başakşehir face their own uncertainty, with Cengiz Operi and Joshua Opoku both questionable.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Beşiktaş, and the football reasons are clear. The hosts have scored freely at home and conceded little there, while Başakşehir have looked short of attacking threat on their travels. Başakşehir can still punish a loose defence, as their home scoring shows, so this has the feel of an open, competitive game rather than a one-sided one. Beşiktaş should have the edge in the final third, and a narrow home win looks the most likely outcome.
Beşiktaş 2-1 Başakşehir
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
Süper Lig table All previews that day
More Süper Lig previews
Süper Lig Rizespor Trabzonspor Our pick1–2
Trabzonspor travel to Rize on a run of four wins in their last five Süper Lig matches. Rizespor have yet to win at home this season, so the hosts face a stern test on Monday.
Read preview Süper Lig Galatasaray Fenerbahçe Our pick2–1
Galatasaray have won four of their last five league games and sit second, while Fenerbahçe, third, have scored freely. Their Monday meeting at Rams Park could shape the race at the top of the Süper Lig.
Read preview Süper Lig Göztepe Çorum FK Our pick2–1
Göztepe need home points to climb away from the bottom half, while Çorum arrive in strong away form looking to keep their place in the upper table. Their contrasting records make this a fascinating Süper Lig test.
Read preview Süper Lig Konyaspor Gençlerbirliği S.K. Our pick1–0
Gençlerbirliği have conceded 14 goals in their last five matches, yet the recent history between these two sides suggests Sunday's meeting in Konya will be decided by very little.
Read preview